Rapid
vs
Corvinul Hunedoara
Liga I prediction
Our model says: Rapid 1–0 Corvinul Hunedoara
The model makes it 45% Rapid, 31% draw, 24% Corvinul Hunedoara — fair odds of 2.22, 3.23 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (16%).
Expected goals: Rapid 1.39, Corvinul Hunedoara 0.74.
Both teams to score: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 36%, under 2.5: 64%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Key facts
- Rapid are 2nd on 21 points from 10 games; Corvinul Hunedoara are 7th on 13 points from 10 games — Liga I.
- Rapid are unbeaten in their last 5 (4 won), most recently a 3-1 win at home to Arges Pitesti.
- Corvinul Hunedoara have won 1 of their last 5, most recently a 3-2 win away to Oțelul.
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Rapid vs Corvinul Hunedoara
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rapid at 45% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Rapid vs Corvinul Hunedoara
Rapid
- W3-1Arges Pitesti18 September 2026
- W2-1FC Voluntari12 September 2026
- W1-0away to Oțelul6 September 2026
- D1-1Universitatea Craiova31 August 2026
- W2-0away to Petrolul Ploiesti21 August 2026
Corvinul Hunedoara
- W3-2away to Oțelul21 September 2026
- L0-1Universitatea Craiova13 September 2026
- L0-2away to Petrolul Ploiesti6 September 2026
- D1-1Dinamo Bucuresti29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Uta Arad22 August 2026
What these results say
- Rapid went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Rapid scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Rapid won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Corvinul Hunedoara failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Corvinul Hunedoara conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Corvinul Hunedoara had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rapid | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Leading scorers: Rapid and Corvinul Hunedoara
Rapid
- A. Dobre3 goals
Corvinul Hunedoara
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Rapid carry a model rating of 6.61 against 6.45 for Corvinul Hunedoara. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.39 goals for Rapid and 0.74 for Corvinul Hunedoara. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Rapid rate 0.71 in attack and 1.16 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Corvinul Hunedoara rate 0.58 and 1.31.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Rapid a 12.5% chance of the title and Corvinul Hunedoara 0.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rapid the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.39 expected goals for Rapid against 0.74 for Corvinul Hunedoara. Rapid's attack/defence rating is 0.71/1.16 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.58/1.31 for Corvinul Hunedoara.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Rapid at home · Corvinul Hunedoara away
League matches only, Liga I, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: Rapid 10, Corvinul Hunedoara 10.
Rapid score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Corvinul Hunedoara have let in 2 there.
Corvinul Hunedoara score most often in the 61–75 minute window (5 goals); Rapid have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Rapid
- at FCSB24 Oct · Liga Iwin 36%
- vs Csikszereda31 Oct · Liga Iwin 60%
- at Farul Constanta7 Nov · Liga Iwin 38%
- at Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe21 Nov · Liga Iwin 38%
Corvinul Hunedoara
- vs Universitatea Cluj24 Oct · Liga Iwin 37%
- vs Arges Pitesti31 Oct · Liga Iwin 41%
- at FCSB7 Nov · Liga Iwin 30%
- at Csikszereda21 Nov · Liga Iwin 41%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.