CRB
vs
Londrina
Serie B prediction
Our model says: CRB 2–1 Londrina
The model makes it 55% CRB, 22% draw, 23% Londrina — fair odds of 1.82, 4.55 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: CRB 2.47, Londrina 1.46.
Both teams to score: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%, under 2.5: 25%.
Model confidence: High.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- CRB are 7th on 52 points from 33 games; Londrina are 18th on 29 points from 33 games — Serie B.
- CRB have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to Fortaleza EC.
- Londrina have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to Athletic Club MG.
- Last 6 meetings: CRB 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 4 July 2026, ended Londrina 5–0 CRB.
More Brazilian Serie B predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: CRB vs Londrina
Has the model earned this number?
It puts CRB at 55% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into CRB vs Londrina
CRB
- D2-2away to Fortaleza EC12 October 2026
- W3-1Atletico Goianiense7 October 2026
- L1-3away to São Bernardo2 October 2026
- W3-0Cuiaba27 September 2026
- L0-1away to Ponte Preta20 September 2026
Londrina
- D2-2away to Athletic Club MG13 October 2026
- L1-2away to Avai7 October 2026
- L0-2Criciuma2 October 2026
- L0-2away to Vila Nova25 September 2026
- L1-2Fortaleza EC20 September 2026
What these results say
- CRB scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- CRB conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for CRB had three goals or more.
- Londrina did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Londrina conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 47 | +4 | 52 |
| 18 | Londrina | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
CRB
Chance to finish in the top four · 7% today
Londrina
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 93% today
From our Serie B season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: CRB vs Londrina
- 4 July 2026Londrina 5–0 CRBSerie B
- 29 October 2023Londrina 1–1 CRBSerie B
- 1 July 2023CRB 2–1 LondrinaSerie B
- 30 August 2022Londrina 1–0 CRBSerie B
- 19 May 2022CRB 1–0 LondrinaSerie B
- 11 November 2021CRB 1–0 LondrinaSerie B
Leading scorers: CRB and Londrina
CRB
GoalsAssists
- Mikael164
- Crystopher66
Londrina
GoalsAssists
- Bruno Santos113
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
CRB carry a model rating of 6.42 against 6.3 for Londrina. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.47 goals for CRB and 1.46 for Londrina. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
CRB rate 0.76 in attack and 1.86 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Londrina rate 0.65 and 2.00.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CRB the highest probability at 55%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.47 expected goals for CRB against 1.46 for Londrina. CRB's attack/defence rating is 0.76/1.86 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/2 for Londrina.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
CRB at home · Londrina away
League matches only, Serie B, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Serie B matches this season: CRB 33, Londrina 33.
CRB score most often in the 31–45 minute window (13 goals); Londrina have let in 13 there.
Londrina score most often in the 76–90 minute window (13 goals); CRB have let in 14 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
CRB
- at Goias2 Nov · Serie Bwin 33%
- at Nautico Recife8 Nov · Serie Bwin 36%
- vs Ceara14 Nov · Serie Bwin 35%
Londrina
- vs America Mineiro1 Nov · Serie Bwin 59%
- at Botafogo SP6 Nov · Serie Bwin 29%
- vs Nautico Recife14 Nov · Serie Bwin 47%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.