Regular Season - 8 · 2 November 2026, 19:00 UTC

CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura Ligue 1 prediction

Our model says: CR Belouizdad 1–0 JS Saoura

The model makes it 54% CR Belouizdad, 27% draw, 19% JS Saoura — fair odds of 1.85, 3.70 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (13%).

Expected goals: CR Belouizdad 1.71, JS Saoura 0.79.

Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.

Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,420 settled matches.

Edge to CR Belouizdad: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 21 October 2026. CR Belouizdad's rating is built from 35 Ligue 1 (Algeria) matches and JS Saoura's from 35, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.

Key facts

  • CR Belouizdad are 2nd on 13 points from 5 games; JS Saoura are 15th on 2 points from 5 games — Ligue 1.
  • CR Belouizdad are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 3-2 win away to JS El Biar.
  • JS Saoura have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to MB Rouisset.
  • Last 6 meetings: CR Belouizdad 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 12 May 2026, ended JS Saoura 0–0 CR Belouizdad.

More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions

All Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura

45%
Both teams to score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

CR Belouizdad win Draw JS Saoura win
  1. 1–013%
  2. 2–012%
  3. 1–112%
  4. 2–19%
  5. 0–09%
  6. 3–07%
  7. 0–16%

Scores read CR Belouizdad first. Each bar is the model's probability of that exact result, drawn against the likeliest one; the other scorelines it considered share the remaining 32%.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts CR Belouizdad at 54% here. Across 4,371 settled matches (as of 21 October 2026), 1,073 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura

CR Belouizdad

  • W3-2away to JS El Biar12 October 2026
  • W1-0Khenchela7 October 2026
  • W1-0away to US Biskra17 September 2026
  • W1-0ES Setif11 September 2026
  • D3-3away to ASO Chlef5 September 2026

JS Saoura

  • L0-1away to MB Rouisset18 October 2026
  • L0-1away to USM Alger13 October 2026
  • D0-0Olympique Akbou8 October 2026
  • D0-0away to US Biskra22 September 2026
  • L0-4away to JS El Biar18 September 2026

What these results say

  • CR Belouizdad went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • CR Belouizdad scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • CR Belouizdad won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • JS Saoura did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • JS Saoura failed to score in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for JS Saoura had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2CR Belouizdad541095+413
15JS Saoura502306-62

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura

  • 12 May 2026JS Saoura 0–0 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
  • 13 September 2025CR Belouizdad 1–2 JS SaouraLigue 1
  • 10 April 2025JS Saoura 1–3 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
  • 17 December 2024CR Belouizdad 3–0 JS SaouraLigue 1
  • 14 June 2024JS Saoura 1–2 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
  • 27 January 2024CR Belouizdad 3–1 JS SaouraLigue 1

The two sides

CR Belouizdad carry a model rating of 6.52 against 6.31 for JS Saoura. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

What the model expects

Under the hood the model expects 1.71 goals for CR Belouizdad and 0.79 for JS Saoura. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

CR Belouizdad rate 0.74 in attack and 1.43 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; JS Saoura rate 0.46 and 1.42.

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 2,110 correct results out of 4,378 settled predictions (48%), with 443 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives CR Belouizdad the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.71 expected goals for CR Belouizdad against 0.79 for JS Saoura. CR Belouizdad's attack/defence rating is 0.74/1.43 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.46/1.42 for JS Saoura.

Season stats

CR BelouizdadJS Saoura
5Matches5
4W 1D 0LRecord0W 2D 3L
9 1.8 per gameGoals scored0 0.0 per game
5 1.0 per gameGoals conceded6 1.2 per game
3 of 5Clean sheets2 of 5
0 of 5Failed to score5 of 5
1 of 2Penalties scored–
11 2.2 per gameYellow cards14 2.8 per game
1Red cards2

CR Belouizdad at home · JS Saoura away

2Played4
2W 0D 0LRecord0W 1D 3L
2–0Goals for – against0–6
2 of 2Clean sheets1 of 4

League matches only, Ligue 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Ligue 1 matches this season: CR Belouizdad 5, JS Saoura 5.

CR Belouizdad scored 202013
JS Saoura conceded 101103

CR Belouizdad score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); JS Saoura have let in 3 there.

JS Saoura scored 000000
CR Belouizdad conceded 310110

Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.

The next 3 matches, by difficulty

CR Belouizdad

  • vs CS Constantine7 Nov · Ligue 1win 65%
  • at Ben Aknoun8 Nov · Ligue 1win 43%

JS Saoura

  • vs JS Kabylie7 Nov · Ligue 1win 37%
  • vs CS Constantine8 Nov · Ligue 1win 47%
  • vs Khenchela13 Nov · Ligue 1win 41%

Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.