Corvinul Hunedoara
vs
Universitatea Cluj
Liga I prediction
Our model says: Corvinul Hunedoara 1–0 Universitatea Cluj
The model makes it 38% Corvinul Hunedoara, 28% draw, 34% Universitatea Cluj — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Corvinul Hunedoara 1.42, Universitatea Cluj 1.32.
Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, under 2.5: 49%.
Model confidence: Low.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Corvinul Hunedoara are 7th on 16 points from 11 games; Universitatea Cluj are 5th on 18 points from 11 games — Liga I.
- Corvinul Hunedoara have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-2 win at home to FC Voluntari.
- Universitatea Cluj have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-4 defeat at home to Rapid.
More Romanian Liga I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Cluj
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Corvinul Hunedoara at 38% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Cluj
Corvinul Hunedoara
- W3-2FC Voluntari9 October 2026
- W3-2away to Oțelul21 September 2026
- L0-1Universitatea Craiova13 September 2026
- L0-2away to Petrolul Ploiesti6 September 2026
- D1-1Dinamo Bucuresti29 August 2026
Universitatea Cluj
- L3-4Rapid12 October 2026
- W3-1away to CFR 1907 Cluj8 October 2026
- W2-0away to FC Voluntari20 September 2026
- W3-0Oțelul14 September 2026
- L0-4away to Universitatea Craiova7 September 2026
What these results say
- Corvinul Hunedoara conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Universitatea Cluj scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Universitatea Cluj had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Corvinul Hunedoara
Chance to finish in the top four · 10% today
Universitatea Cluj
Chance to finish in the top four · 46% today
From our Liga I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Leading scorers: Corvinul Hunedoara and Universitatea Cluj
Corvinul Hunedoara
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Universitatea Cluj
GoalsAssists
- A. Aliev62
- O. Mendy31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Corvinul Hunedoara carry a model rating of 6.43 against 6.55 for Universitatea Cluj. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.42 goals for Corvinul Hunedoara and 1.32 for Universitatea Cluj. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Corvinul Hunedoara rate 0.61 in attack and 1.43 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Universitatea Cluj rate 0.83 and 1.55.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Universitatea Cluj, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Corvinul Hunedoara a 0.1% chance of the title and Universitatea Cluj 1.5%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Corvinul Hunedoara the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.42 expected goals for Corvinul Hunedoara against 1.32 for Universitatea Cluj. Corvinul Hunedoara's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.43 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.83/1.55 for Universitatea Cluj.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Corvinul Hunedoara at home · Universitatea Cluj away
League matches only, Liga I, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Corvinul HunedoaraUniversitatea Cluj
Corvinul Hunedoara are 6th after 11 Liga I matches (between 2nd and 10th so far); Universitatea Cluj are 5th after 11 (between 3rd and 14th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: Corvinul Hunedoara 11, Universitatea Cluj 11.
Corvinul Hunedoara score most often in the 61–75 minute window (5 goals); Universitatea Cluj have let in 0 there.
Universitatea Cluj score most often in the 46–60 minute window (6 goals); Corvinul Hunedoara have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Corvinul Hunedoara
- vs Arges Pitesti31 Oct · Liga Iwin 44%
- at FCSB7 Nov · Liga Iwin 28%
- at Csikszereda21 Nov · Liga Iwin 43%
- vs Farul Constanta28 Nov · Liga Iwin 46%
Universitatea Cluj
- vs FCSB31 Oct · Liga Iwin 52%
- at Csikszereda7 Nov · Liga Iwin 52%
- at Farul Constanta21 Nov · Liga Iwin 38%
- vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe28 Nov · Liga Iwin 58%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.