Regular Season - 11 · 28 November 2026, 18:00 UTC

Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa Ligat Ha'al prediction

Doha Stadium, Sakhnin

Our model says: Bnei Sakhnin 0–1 Maccabi Haifa

The model makes it 24% Bnei Sakhnin, 27% draw, 49% Maccabi Haifa — fair odds of 4.17, 3.70 and 2.04.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Expected goals: Bnei Sakhnin 1.02, Maccabi Haifa 1.68.

Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, under 2.5: 49%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.

Edge to Maccabi Haifa: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Bnei Sakhnin's rating is built from 43 Israeli Ligat Ha'al matches and Maccabi Haifa's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 549 matches.

Key facts

  • Bnei Sakhnin are 7th on 13 points from 10 games; Maccabi Haifa are 5th on 18 points from 10 games — Ligat Ha'al.
  • Bnei Sakhnin are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 won), most recently a 1-1 draw away to Hapoel Jerusalem.
  • Maccabi Haifa are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-4 defeat at home to Maccabi Netanya.
  • Last 6 meetings: Maccabi Haifa 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 8 August 2026, ended Bnei Sakhnin 0–1 Maccabi Haifa.

More Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions

All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa

53%
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Bnei Sakhnin win Draw Maccabi Haifa win
  1. 1–112%
  2. 0–111%
  3. 1–210%
  4. 0–29%
  5. 0–07%
  6. 1–06%
  7. 2–16%

Scores read Bnei Sakhnin first; the other scorelines share the remaining 38%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Maccabi Haifa at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa

Bnei Sakhnin

Ligat Ha'al

  • D1-1away to Hapoel Jerusalem7 November 2026
  • D1-1Ironi Tiberias31 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Ironi Kiryat Shmona24 October 2026
  • W2-0Hapoel Petah Tikva17 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Maccabi Tel Aviv10 October 2026

Maccabi Haifa

Ligat Ha'al

  • L0-4Maccabi Netanya7 November 2026
  • L1-2away to Hapoel Tel Aviv2 November 2026
  • L2-5Hapoel Beer Sheva26 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Maccabi Petah Tikva17 October 2026
  • W4-1away to Hapoel Jerusalem12 October 2026

What these results say

  • Bnei Sakhnin went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Bnei Sakhnin had two goals or fewer.
  • Bnei Sakhnin scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Maccabi Haifa conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Maccabi Haifa had three goals or more.
  • Maccabi Haifa scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Bnei Sakhnin1034388013
5Maccabi Haifa106042120+118

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Bnei Sakhnin

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 14% today

Win 8%
Draw 13%
Defeat 17%

Maccabi Haifa

Chance to finish in the top six · 88% today

Win 91%
Draw 87%
Defeat 81%

From our Ligat Ha'al season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa

  • 8 August 2026Bnei Sakhnin 0–1 Maccabi HaifaToto Cup Ligat Al
  • 15 February 2026Maccabi Haifa 4–0 Bnei SakhninLigat Ha'al
  • 8 November 2025Bnei Sakhnin 3–3 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 18 January 2025Bnei Sakhnin 1–1 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 5 October 2024Maccabi Haifa 3–0 Bnei SakhninLigat Ha'al
  • 18 May 2024Bnei Sakhnin 1–2 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al

Leading scorers: Bnei Sakhnin and Maccabi Haifa

Bnei Sakhnin

No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Maccabi Haifa

GoalsAssists

  • Bruninho45
  • A. Novaković41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Bnei Sakhnin a 0% chance of the title and Maccabi Haifa 0.5%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bnei Sakhnin Maccabi Haifa
0.37 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.85
1.36 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.75
1.02 Model expected goals (this match) 1.68

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Maccabi Haifa the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.02 expected goals for Bnei Sakhnin against 1.68 for Maccabi Haifa. Bnei Sakhnin's attack/defence rating is 0.37/1.36 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.85/1.75 for Maccabi Haifa.

Bnei Sakhnin carry a model rating of 6.26 against 6.51 for Maccabi Haifa.

How the model reaches 49% for Maccabi Haifa to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Maccabi Haifa to win. Then home advantage takes away 2 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Bnei Sakhnin's ratings add 5 points and Maccabi Haifa's ratings add 10 points, which lands on the published 49%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground37%
  2. Home advantage35%−2
  3. Both sides at this match's level34%−1
  4. Bnei Sakhnin's ratings39%+5
  5. Maccabi Haifa's ratings49%+10

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Bnei SakhninMaccabi Haifa
10Matches10
3W 4D 3LRecord6W 0D 4L
8 0.8 per gameGoals scored21 2.1 per game
8 0.8 per gameGoals conceded20 2.0 per game
5 of 10Clean sheets1 of 10
3 of 10Failed to score1 of 10
0 of 1Penalties scored2 of 4
22 2.2 per gameYellow cards30 3.0 per game
0Red cards1
4-4-2 3×Usual shape4-2-3-1 8×

Bnei Sakhnin at home · Maccabi Haifa away

5Played5
2W 1D 2LRecord3W 0D 2L
5–4Goals for – against12–7
2 of 5Clean sheets1 of 5

League matches only, Ligat Ha'al, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Ligat Ha'al matches this season: Bnei Sakhnin 10, Maccabi Haifa 10.

Bnei Sakhnin scored 131030
Maccabi Haifa conceded 222434
Maccabi Haifa scored 213566
Bnei Sakhnin conceded 131210

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Bnei Sakhnin

  • at Hapoel Beer Sheva1 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 15%
  • vs Hapoel Tel Aviv5 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 16%
  • vs Maccabi Netanya12 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 24%
  • at Maccabi Petah Tikva19 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 31%
  • at Beitar Jerusalem29 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 18%

Maccabi Haifa

  • vs Beitar Jerusalem1 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 34%
  • at Hapoel Haifa5 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 50%
  • at Hapoel Ramat Gan12 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 60%
  • vs Maccabi Tel Aviv19 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 25%
  • at Hapoel Petah Tikva29 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 53%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.