Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Bnei Sakhnin 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Bnei Sakhnin, 36% draw, 33% Beitar Jerusalem — fair odds of 3.23, 2.78 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts the draw at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem
Line-ups
- 1R. BalbarauG
- 29A. SalmanD
- 2M. GantusD
- 5I. Abu Abaid
- 17A. KaradiD
- 92SanaD
- 77A. SeferM
- 8M. VorobjovasM
- 28I. HajajM
- 10M. CudjoeF
- 16L. HalafF
- 22M. Abu NilG
- 20M. GanameD
- 44A. GnamehD
- 7M. Sheikh YosefM
- 6A. TahaD
- 21M. Abu Riya
- 11J. BushnaqF
- 24B. KhuriF
- 25E. E. Abdalla
- 55Miguel SilvaG
- 14R. ElimelechD
- 25L. DeriD
- 4B. CarabaliD
- 11T. MuzieD
- 40Boris EnowM
- 30T. YosefiM
- 26D. WorkoM
- 77O. AtziliF
- 19S. WeissmanF
- 13E. AnsahF
- 22Y. OzerG
- 5G. CohenD
- 91N. ShedoF
- 15N. MucheM
- 10A. YonaM
- 8Z. Ben ShimolM
- 9J. KaluF
- 7Y. ShuaF
- 18R. Abergil
Form going into Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem
Bnei Sakhnin
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Maccabi Petah Tikva29 August 2026
Beitar Jerusalem
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Hapoel Tel Aviv3 September 2026
- L1-4Maccabi Netanya29 August 2026
- W2-1away to Austria Vienna13 August 2026
- L1-2Austria Vienna6 August 2026
- L2-3AEK Larnaca30 July 2026
What these results say
- Beitar Jerusalem conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Beitar Jerusalem had three goals or more.
- Beitar Jerusalem failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bnei Sakhnin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Bnei Sakhnin and Beitar Jerusalem
Bnei Sakhnin
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Beitar Jerusalem
GoalsAssists
- O. Atzili32
- E. Ansah30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Beitar Jerusalem won 1–0 at Bnei Sakhnin. The model had leaned towards a draw at 36% and given a win for Beitar Jerusalem 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: E. Ansah 63' for Beitar Jerusalem.
How the call on Bnei Sakhnin v Beitar Jerusalem has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 33% / 38% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 31% / 36% / 33%: the biggest move is Beitar Jerusalem's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Bnei Sakhnin win31%▼ −2
- Draw36%▼ −2
- Beitar Jerusalem win33%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.