Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Maccabi Netanya 1-1 Hapoel Haifa.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Maccabi Netanya, 31% draw, 22% Hapoel Haifa — fair odds of 2.13, 3.23 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Maccabi Netanya at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa
Line-ups
- 22SamuG
- 26K. JaberD
- 6B. KonateD
- 44B. Feldman
- 24A. CohenD
- 32A. OuattaraM
- 13N. NiddamM
- 10O. BiluM
- 15M. LeviM
- 8D. HazizaM
- 83Matheus DavoF
- 1N. AntmanG
- 12A. AzugiD
- 40S. KhvadagianiD
- 5D. KulikovD
- 18O. ShamirM
- 16B. ZaaruraM
- 11D. HugiF
- 21A. TalpaM
- 17Y. AbuhaziraF
- 1Y. GerafiG
- 2N. CohenD
- 13D. ZuparicD
- 5I. KricakD
- 77A. MendyD
- 55N. SabagM
- 8C. KeitaM
- 15Y. GonenM
- 10S. EliasM
- 7L. RotmanM
- 17A. TurgemanF
- 23M. AmbarG
- 4D. MalulD
- 25G. DibaD
- 11I. S. Pahima
- 14W. HabiballahF
- 9W. AgadaF
- 21C. DiakiteF
- 18I. ZafraniF
- 12A. Porat AyashF
Form going into Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
All competitions we cover
- W4-1away to Beitar Jerusalem29 August 2026
Hapoel Haifa
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Hapoel Beer Sheva2 September 2026
- D0-0Hapoel Tel Aviv30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Maccabi Netanya | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 | Hapoel Haifa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Maccabi Netanya and Hapoel Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
GoalsAssists
- Matheus Davó50
- O. Bilu23
Hapoel Haifa
GoalsAssists
- A. Turgeman41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Maccabi Netanya and Hapoel Haifa drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Maccabi Netanya at 47% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Alon Turgeman 17' for Hapoel Haifa, Davó (penalty) 52' for Maccabi Netanya.
How the call on Maccabi Netanya v Hapoel Haifa has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 52% / 28% / 20% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 47% / 31% / 22%: the biggest move is Maccabi Netanya's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- Maccabi Netanya win47%▼ −5
- Draw31%▲ +3
- Hapoel Haifa win22%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.