Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-4 Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Hapoel Beer Sheva, 29% draw, 31% Maccabi Tel Aviv — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hapoel Beer Sheva at 40% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Beer Sheva
- D2-2Hapoel Haifa2 September 2026
- W2-1away to Hapoel Ramat Gan29 August 2026
Maccabi Tel Aviv
- W3-1Maccabi Haifa31 August 2026
- W5-2away to Hapoel Jerusalem23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Hapoel Beer Sheva and Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Beer Sheva
- M. Kna'an1 goals1 assists
- A. Ganah1 goals
Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Dor Peretz3 goals1 assists
- E. Sokler2 goals
- Hélio Varela1 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.