7 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar Ligue 1 prediction & result

Full time2 – 2

Final score: Ben Aknoun 2-2 JS El Biar.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Ben Aknoun, 26% draw, 29% JS El Biar — fair odds of 2.22, 3.85 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Ben Aknoun at 45% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ben Aknoun6%Draw90%JS El Biar4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

A. Saad
5'
⚽M. Benchaira (pen)
19'
31'
K. Merzougui
A. Oukali
39'
45'
A. Bangoura
46'
🔁Y. Ouassaout: M. Guemroud
46'
🔁K. Merzouguiout: A. Mammeri
46'
🔁M. Boukermaout: M. Kaddour
46'
🔁S. Kermicheout: D. Mouaki
⚽L. Adjout
48'
61'
⚽M. Guemroud
74'
⚽D. Mouaki (pen)
🔁A. Djahnitout: R. Brahimi
77'
🔁A. Oukaliout: A. Djabout
77'
🔁A. Saadout: A. Zaouche
77'
86'
🔁A. Bangouraout: O. Chita

Line-ups

Ben Aknoun
  • 16K. Boussouf
  • 2A. Chaaraoui
  • 3A. Tamimi
  • 4A. Oukali
  • 8M. Benchaira
  • 9A. Saad
  • 15F. Talah
  • 17B. Boukaroum
  • 19L. Adjout
  • 22H. Selmi
  • 25A. Djahnit
Substitutes
  • 7A. Djabout
  • 97Y. Bechou
  • 11A. Zaouche
  • 13M. Gacem
  • 30A. Boudedja
  • 27A. Hachoud
  • 34A. Boualleg
  • 21R. Brahimi
  • 31D. E. Mechid
JS El Biar
  • 30T. Moussaoui
  • 5B. Cisse
  • 22A. Kante
  • 10A. Bangoura
  • 15M. Bouchina
  • 19K. Merzougui
  • 21Y. Ouassa
  • 14K. Aribi
  • 25M. Boukerma
  • 6F. Abdat
  • 7S. Kermiche
Substitutes
  • 26A. Mammeri
  • 8O. Chita
  • 9D. Mouaki
  • 13I. Cissoko
  • 29T. Tahar
  • 24H. Mellouk
  • 1D. Eddine
  • 11M. Kaddour
  • 27M. Guemroud

Form going into Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar

Ben Aknoun

  • D1-1away to Khenchela18 September 2026
  • D2-2US Biskra10 September 2026
  • W1-0away to ES Setif3 September 2026

JS El Biar

  • W4-0JS Saoura18 September 2026
  • L0-2away to USM Alger10 September 2026
  • L0-2Olympique Akbou3 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Ben Aknoun413065+16
12JS El Biar511389-14

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar

  • 26 January 2025JS El Biar 0–1 Ben AknounLigue 2
  • 21 September 2024Ben Aknoun 0–0 JS El BiarLigue 2
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.