23 August 2026, 20:00 UTC

Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra, Cordoba
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Belgrano Cordoba 1-2 Defensa Y Justicia.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Belgrano Cordoba, 20% draw, 40% Defensa Y Justicia — fair odds of 2.50, 5.00 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Belgrano Cordoba at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Belgrano Cordoba0%Draw6%Defensa Y Justicia94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
⚽C. Perezassist: J. Gutierrez
Agustín Falcón
34'
🔁J. Velazquezout: R. Hernandes
46'
47'
⚽D. Fernandezassist: L. Fernandez
🔁A. Falconout: A. J. Benitez Cabrera
51'
⚽R. Hernandesassist: L. Passerini
59'
60'
🔁L. Fernandezout: A. Portillo
🔁A. Sanchezout: F. Gonzalez
64'
65'
Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
73'
🔁D. Barbonaout: J. Lucco
73'
🔁J. Gutierrezout: D. Blanco
🔁L. Passeriniout: L. Gutierrez
79'
🔁F. Vazquezout: R. Tulian
80'
88'
🔁C. Perezout: E. Burdin
88'
🔁T. Perrottaout: T. Perez
Alcides Benítez
90+3'
90+6'
Fernando Román

Match stats — Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia

68%Possession32%
25Shots9
6On target3
8Corners0
1.26xG1.25

Goals against chances

Belgrano Cordoba1 from 1.26 xGabout what the chances were worth
Defensa Y Justicia2 from 1.25 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Belgrano Cordoba 4-2-3-1
  • 25T. CardozoG
  • 45A. FalconD
  • 14L. MoralesD
  • 17L. LopezD
  • 3A. SporleD
  • 21A. SanchezM
  • 20F. VazquezM
  • 24E. RigoniM
  • 22N. FernandezM
  • 53J. VelazquezM
  • 9L. PasseriniF
Substitutes
  • 23M. VicentiniG
  • 16F. RiccaD
  • 2A. MaldonadoD
  • 26A. J. Benitez CabreraD
  • 8R. Hernandes
  • 37L. GutierrezF
  • 19S. Gatti
  • 5S. LongoM
  • 15R. TulianM
Coach: Ricardo Zielinski
Defensa Y Justicia 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. BorgognoG
  • 28V. LozaD
  • 29D. FernandezD
  • 21D. MartinezD
  • 3F. RomanD
  • 15S. SosaM
  • 8C. PerezM
  • 11T. PerrottaM
  • 19D. BarbonaM
  • 24J. GutierrezM
  • 9L. FernandezF
Substitutes
  • 36L. AmadeG
  • 16A. PortilloM
  • 2S. LuceroD
  • 6E. BurdinD
  • 30D. DominguezD
  • 22M. PorcelM
  • 26J. LuccoF
  • 45T. MartinezM
  • 25F. AltamiraF
Coach: Mariano Soso

Form going into Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia

Belgrano Cordoba

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Independiente Rivadavia15 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Banfield10 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Tigre6 August 2026
  • L0-1Argentinos Juniors1 August 2026
  • W2-1Rosario Central23 July 2026

Defensa Y Justicia

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Velez Sarsfield17 August 2026
  • W2-1Newell's Old Boys9 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Estudiantes La Plata1 August 2026
  • W2-1Deportivo Riestra29 July 2026
  • D1-1Aldosivi24 July 2026

What these results say

  • 4 of these 5 matches for Belgrano Cordoba had two goals or fewer.
  • Defensa Y Justicia conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Defensa Y Justicia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Defensa Y Justicia.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Belgrano Cordoba166551715+223
4Defensa Y Justicia168442115+628

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia

  • 20 February 2026Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 31 August 2025Defensa Y Justicia 2–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 24 February 2025Belgrano Cordoba 2–0 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 2 November 2024Belgrano Cordoba 1–2 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 8 March 2024Belgrano Cordoba 1–1 Defensa Y JusticiaCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 16 October 2023Defensa Y Justicia 0–2 Belgrano CordobaCopa de la Liga Profesional

The full Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia record →

The result against the call

Defensa Y Justicia won 2–1 at Belgrano Cordoba. The goals: C. Perez 12' for Defensa Y Justicia, D. Fernandez 47' for Defensa Y Justicia, R. Hernandes 59' for Belgrano Cordoba. On expected goals it finished 1.26–1.25.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.