23 August 2026, 17:45 UTC

Barracas Central vs Platense Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Claudio Fabian Tapia, Barracas
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Barracas Central 1-2 Platense.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% Barracas Central, 23% draw, 21% Platense — fair odds of 1.79, 4.35 and 4.76.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Barracas Central at 56%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Barracas Central5%Draw92%Platense3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

17'
Mateo Mendia
🔁F. Tobioout: N. Capraro
17'
•Norberto Briasco
19'
⚽I. Tapia (pen)
23'
Norberto Briasco
31'
Nicolás Demartini
33'
Kevin Jappert
40'
🔁N. Briascoout: G. Maroni
46'
Iván Tapia
56'
59'
⚽K. Retamarassist: F. Zapiola
69'
🔁L. Herediaout: L. Gimenez
76'
🔁F. Bussioout: M. Barrios
76'
🔁F. Zapiolaout: B. Merlini
🔁I. Tapiaout: E. Pereyra
79'
🔁T. Porraout: R. Bogarin
79'
🔁F. Brueraout: J. Candia
85'
86'
🔁K. Retamarout: N. Lopez
90'
⚽L. Gimenezassist: B. Merlini

Match stats — Barracas Central vs Platense

45%Possession55%
11Shots19
6On target7
4Corners4
1.6xG2.67

Goals against chances

Barracas Central1 from 1.60 xGless than the chances were worth
Platense2 from 2.67 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Barracas Central 5-3-2
  • 30M. MinoG
  • 13R. BarriosD
  • 14K. JappertD
  • 32F. TobioD
  • 31N. DemartiniD
  • 6R. InsuaD
  • 8T. PorraM
  • 35E. RolonM
  • 10I. TapiaM
  • 77F. BrueraF
  • 11N. BriascoF
Substitutes
  • 1J. EspinolaG
  • 37G. CampiD
  • 4D. MartinezD
  • 2N. CapraroD
  • 17E. PereyraD
  • 33G. MaroniM
  • 79M. PuigM
  • 28R. BogarinM
  • 24E. TabordaF
Coach: Damian Ayude
Platense 4-2-3-1
  • 22N. SumavilG
  • 25J. SaboridoD
  • 34M. MendiaD
  • 31Victor CuestaD
  • 3T. SilvaD
  • 17F. BussioM
  • 5I. GomezM
  • 43K. RetamarM
  • 10F. ZapiolaM
  • 33J. GautoM
  • 23L. HerediaF
Substitutes
  • 1B. BustosG
  • 13I. VazquezD
  • 4A. LagosD
  • 32S. QuirosD
  • 16G. TogniF
  • 24M. BarriosM
  • 26P. FerreiraM
  • 7G. MaineroF
  • 18B. MerliniF
Coach: Martin Palermo

Form going into Barracas Central vs Platense

Barracas Central

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Rosario Central16 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Gimnasia La Plata9 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Deportivo Riestra2 August 2026
  • W1-0Aldosivi29 July 2026
  • W1-0away to River Plate25 July 2026

Platense

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Boca Juniors16 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Independiente9 August 2026
  • L0-4Talleres Cordoba3 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Instituto Cordoba30 July 2026
  • D2-2Union Santa Fe25 July 2026

What these results say

  • Every one of these 5 matches for Barracas Central had two goals or fewer.
  • Platense failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Platense scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Platense conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Barracas Central167541713+426
10Platense165561820-220

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Barracas Central vs Platense

  • 21 February 2026Platense 1–0 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 16 August 2024Platense 0–0 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 11 April 2023Barracas Central 1–0 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 31 July 2022Platense 0–0 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 29 October 2019Platense 1–0 Barracas CentralPrimera Nacional

The full Barracas Central vs Platense record →

The result against the call

Platense won 2–1 at Barracas Central. The model had leaned towards a win for Barracas Central at 56% and given a win for Platense 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: I. Tapia (penalty) 23' for Barracas Central, K. Retamar 59' for Platense, L. Gimenez 90' for Platense. On expected goals it finished 1.60–2.67.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.