Goias vs Athletic Club Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Goias 2-1 Athletic Club.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Goias, 29% draw, 33% Athletic Club — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Goias at 38% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Goias vs Athletic Club
Line-ups
- 23TadeuG
- 2Rodrigo SoaresD
- 3Luiz FelipeD
- 14Lucas RibeiroD
- 54Djalma SilvaD
- 97LourençoM
- 5Filipe MachadoM
- 21Jean Carlos Alves FerreiraM
- 10Lucas LimaM
- 40KaduM
- 18CaduF
- 8JuninhoM
- 25Luis FellipeD
- 6NicolasD
- 55Guilherme BaldóriaM
- 35LuquinhasM
- 66Danilo CunhaD
- 4Ramon MenezesD
- 28GegêM
- 77HalerrandrioF
Form going into Goias vs Athletic Club
Goias
- L0-3away to Novorizontino2 October 2026
- L0-1Atletico Goianiense26 September 2026
- W2-1Avai20 September 2026
Athletic Club
- D0-0Alaves19 September 2026
- D1-1Elche12 September 2026
- W3-0Atletico Madrid5 September 2026
- W2-0away to Celta Vigo30 August 2026
- L0-2away to Barcelona27 August 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Athletic Club had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Goias vs Athletic Club
- 14 June 2026Athletic Club MG 1–1 GoiasSerie B
- 11 October 2025Athletic Club MG 1–1 GoiasSerie B
- 24 June 2025Goias 1–2 Athletic Club MGSerie B
Leading scorers: Goias and Athletic Club
Goias
GoalsAssists
- Kadu91
Athletic Club
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.