30 August 2026, 16:05 UTC

Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab Pro League prediction & result

Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Al-Hazm 1-1 Al Shabab.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Al-Hazm, 29% draw, 33% Al Shabab — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Al-Hazm at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Al-Hazm0%Draw4%Al Shabab96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Abdurahman Al-Dakheel
29'
48'
⚽R. B. Martinez Tobinsonassist: Y. Carrasco
54'
Yacine Adli
62'
🔁D. Podenceout: A. Al Oboud
62'
🔁H. Al Hammamiout: A. Matuq
🔁E. Acolatseout: A. Sayoud
65'
68'
Dhari Al-Enezi
74'
🔁R. B. Martinez Tobinsonout: A. Al Asmari
🔁S. Al Rashidout: A. Al Shamrani
80'
🔁A. Al Dweheout: W. Al Shanqiti
81'
🔁S. Bendebkaout: M. Al Hamdani
81'
90+7'
Dhari Al-Enezi
90+7'
Dhari Al-Enezi
🔁A. Pululuout: J. Ateeq
90+6'
⚽A. Pululu (pen)
90'

Match stats — Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab

45%Possession55%
8Shots11
4On target6
3Corners8
1.02xG1.54

Goals against chances

Al-Hazm1 from 1.02 xGabout what the chances were worth
Al Shabab1 from 1.54 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Al-Hazm 4-2-3-1
  • 23I. ZaiedG
  • 2S. Al RashidD
  • 4S. TunkarD
  • 34A. Al DakheelD
  • 3M. Ben HamidaD
  • 24A. BahM
  • 17B. MugishaM
  • 22A. Al DweheM
  • 28S. BendebkaM
  • 7E. AcolatseM
  • 9A. PululuF
Substitutes
  • 33M. Al GhamdiG
  • 13A. Al ShanqitiD
  • 27A. Al NakhliD
  • 95J. AteeqD
  • 8M. KonateM
  • 10A. SayoudM
  • 70A. Al ShamraniM
  • 11W. Al ShanqitiF
  • 77M. Al HamdaniF
Coach: Jalel Kadri
Al Shabab 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. DiawG
  • 17M. Al ThaniD
  • 4T. JedvajD
  • 3M. T. BarryD
  • 21D. Al AnaziD
  • 8J. BrownhillM
  • 29Y. AdliM
  • 22H. Al HammamiM
  • 11D. PodenceM
  • 10Y. CarrascoM
  • 9R. B. Martinez TobinsonF
Substitutes
  • 33M. Al MahasnehG
  • 2M. Al ShwirekhD
  • 5A. MakkiD
  • 94M. Al RajehD
  • 40A. Al AsmariM
  • 6A. Al NashriM
  • 24A. Al OboudF
  • 37A. Matuq
  • 99H. Al KhorayefF
Coach: Thomas Letsch

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Al-Hazm122461420-610
12Al Shabab102531414011

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.