- Hvidovre — 24 points from 10 played (7 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost), 20 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: W W D W W.
- Vejle — 19 points from 10 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost), 23 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: D W D D L.
- FC Fredericia — 17 points from 10 played (4 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost), 14 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: L W D D W.
- Aalborg — 14 points from 10 played (3 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost), 14 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: D W D D D.
- Hobro — 14 points from 10 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 13 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L L D L D.
- Aarhus Fremad — 13 points from 10 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D W D L L.
- AB Copenhagen — 12 points from 10 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 13 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: L L L W W.
- HB Koge — 10 points from 10 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 13 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: D D D W W.
- Vendsyssel FF — 10 points from 10 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 10 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: W L D D L.
- Kolding IF — 9 points from 10 played (1 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: W L D D D.
- Hillerød — 9 points from 10 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 13 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W D W D L.
- Esbjerg — 6 points from 10 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 13 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L L D L D.
What moved
Measured against 2026-10-12, the last update whose numbers changed —
not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried
forward rather than restamped. 9 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.
- Aarhus Fremad — chance of finishing top down 0.1, to 0.8%; bottom-three risk up 0.2, to 7.8%.
- Esbjerg — bottom-three risk down 0.2, to 73.4%.
- Aalborg — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 14.4%.
- FC Fredericia — chance of finishing top up 0.1, to 20.8%.
- Hobro — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 23.2%.
Season projection
Every one of the 72 matches this phase has left,
played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each
side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a
title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those
depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Promotion Group, Relegation Group follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-12, the last update whose numbers changed.
- Hvidovre — projected to finish on 43.9 points, from 24 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 55% (up 0.1), finishes top six 99.7%, bottom three 0%.
- Vejle — projected to finish on 39.5 points, from 19 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 21.4% (up 0.1), finishes top six 98.2%, bottom three 0.1%.
- FC Fredericia — projected to finish on 39.4 points, from 17 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 20.8% (up 0.1), finishes top six 97.8%, bottom three 0.1%.
- Aarhus Fremad — projected to finish on 30.8 points, from 13 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.8% (down 0.1), finishes top six 65.7%, bottom three 7.8%.
- AB Copenhagen — projected to finish on 30.6 points, from 12 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.9%, finishes top six 67.3%, bottom three 7%.
- Aalborg — projected to finish on 28.8 points, from 14 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.7%, finishes top six 50.6%, bottom three 14.4%.
- Hobro — projected to finish on 27.2 points, from 14 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top six 35.2%, bottom three 23.2%.
- HB Koge — projected to finish on 25.4 points, from 10 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top six 27.1%, bottom three 33.5%.
- Kolding IF — projected to finish on 24.8 points, from 9 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 23.1%, bottom three 35.6%.
- Hillerød — projected to finish on 23.6 points, from 9 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 16.8%, bottom three 46%.
- Vendsyssel FF — projected to finish on 22.5 points, from 10 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 12.1%, bottom three 58.8%.
- Esbjerg — projected to finish on 20 points, from 6 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 6.5%, bottom three 73.4%.
1. Division (Denmark): how many points for the top six?
Chance by final points total · 14 October 2026
28 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 31 in nine out of ten.
33 pts~100%
31 pts96%
29 pts77%
27 pts36%
25 pts7%
050%100%
The top six go into the Promotion play-offs zone.
1. Division (Denmark): how many points to stay up?
Chance by final points total · 14 October 2026
23 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 25 in nine out of ten.
27 pts~100%
25 pts93%
23 pts65%
21 pts26%
19 pts5%
050%100%
Above the bottom three in the final table.