The model on 8 October: 13 out of 27
Of the 27 matches our model predicted before kick-off on Thursday 8 October 2026, it called the result of 13 (48%). It named the exact scoreline 3 times. Across all 3,118 matches it has predicted since 19 July, the rate is 47%.
By competition
- Persian Gulf Pro League: 3 of 6
- Botola Pro: 1 of 4
- Ligue 1: 1 of 3
- Serie A: 1 of 3
- Primera División: 1 of 2
- Serie B: 2 of 2
- Stars League: 2 of 2
- Veikkausliiga: 1 of 2
- 3 other competitions: 1 of 3
The most confident misses
The predictions it was surest about and got wrong:
- KuPS 0-1 AC Oulu: the model had KuPS at 61%.
- Aluminium Arak 1-1 Malavan: the model had Aluminium Arak at 57%.
- Atletico Nacional 0-0 Deportes Tolima: the model had Atletico Nacional at 54%.
Exact scorelines
- Ceara 1-0 Criciuma: the exact score it named, with Ceara at 52%.
- FAR Rabat 1-0 Widad Témara: the exact score it named, with FAR Rabat at 43%.
- MB Rouisset 1-0 USM Alger: the exact score it named, with MB Rouisset at 36%.
How this is counted
A result counts as called when the outcome the model rated most likely (home win, draw or away win) is the one that happened. Every prediction here was published and logged before kick-off, and the log is public: the track record breaks it down by confidence, by competition and by club. How the probabilities are produced, including where the model is known to be wrong, is in the methodology.
Every evening on Telegram
This summary is posted each evening on our Telegram channel, t.me/fulltimestats_com, with a link back to the full recap.