The model rates their attack at 0.92× the league average and their defence at 1.25× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Next they host Greece in the UEFA Nations League on 24 September 2026, a match the model gives them 30%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Attacking strength0.92× league avg
Defensive solidity1.25× goals conceded
Next match: Serbia vs Greece
Serbia host Greece on 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 30% Serbia, 30% draw and 40% Greece, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.04 expected goals for Serbia against 1.39. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Full preview and model analysis for Serbia vs Greece