The model rates their attack at 0.55× the league average and their defence at 1.67× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Next they host Finland in the UEFA Nations League on 26 September 2026, a match the model gives them 22%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: San Marino vs Finland
San Marino host Finland on 26 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. The model makes it 22% San Marino, 28% draw and 50% Finland, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 0.87 expected goals for San Marino against 1.86. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Full preview and model analysis for San Marino vs Finland