Neftchi Fergana sit 9th in the AFC Champions League Elite on 4 points from 4 matches, having scored 5 and conceded 7. On the model's scale they rate 0.63 in attack and 2.47 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better): below the division's average at both ends. Across their last 4 league matches they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats, most recently drawing with Tractor Sazi 2-2 away. That is 1.00 points a match, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.75 per game across 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats. That leaves them 8 points behind Al Ain at the top, in a table of 16. Among the 16 rated sides in the division that is the 12th-best attack and the 16th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 4 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they host Al-Hilal in the AFC Champions League Elite on 23 November 2026, a match the model gives them 7%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:3 | +11 | WWWW | 12 |
| 2 | Al-Hilal | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | WWLW | 9 |
| 3 | Esteghlal FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | WWLW | 9 |
| 4 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | WWWL | 9 |
| 5 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | WDDW | 8 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | DWWD | 8 |
| 7 | Al-Nassr | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:7 | +2 | LWW | 6 |
| 8 | Al Shamal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | DDWL | 5 |
| 9 | Neftchi Fergana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | WLLD | 4 |
| 10 | Al-Ittihad | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | DLWL | 4 |
| 11 | Al-Wasl FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | LLW | 3 |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | LLWL | 3 |
| 13 | Tractor Sazi | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | LDLD | 2 |
| 14 | Pakhtakor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | DDLL | 2 |
| 15 | Al Sadd | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | LLDD | 2 |
| 16 | Al-Gharafa | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | LLLL | 0 |
Neftchi Fergana sit 9 of 16, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D2-2away to Tractor Sazi2 November 2026
- L1-2Al-Ittihad26 October 2026
- L1-3away to Al-Nassr12 October 2026
- W1-0Al Quwa Al Jawiya14 September 2026
Last 4 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Neftchi Fergana vs Al-Hilal
Neftchi Fergana host Al-Hilal at Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana on 23 November 2026, 13:45 UTC. The model makes it 7% Neftchi Fergana, 12% draw and 81% Al-Hilal, with a most likely scoreline of 0-3. It projects 0.94 expected goals for Neftchi Fergana against 3.78. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
Full preview and model analysis for Neftchi Fergana vs Al-Hilal