The model rates their attack at 1.06× the league average and their defence at 1.10× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Next they host Cyprus in the UEFA Nations League on 25 September 2026, a match the model gives them 46%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Attacking strength1.06× league avg
Defensive solidity1.10× goals conceded
Next match: Montenegro vs Cyprus
Montenegro host Cyprus on 25 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 46% Montenegro, 27% draw and 27% Cyprus, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.86 expected goals for Montenegro against 1.13. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Full preview and model analysis for Montenegro vs Cyprus