On the model's scale they rate 0.93 in attack and 0.91 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better). Next they travel to Bulgaria in the UEFA Nations League on 13 November 2026, a match the model gives them 47%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Attacking strength0.93× top-flight avg
Defensive solidity0.91× top-flight conceded
Next match: Iceland vs Bulgaria
Iceland travel to Bulgaria on 13 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. The model makes it 47% Iceland, 30% draw and 23% Bulgaria, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.37 expected goals for Iceland against 0.81. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
Full preview and model analysis for Iceland vs Bulgaria
Recent meetings with Bulgaria
- 3 October 2026Iceland 3–0 BulgariaUEFA Nations League
The last 1 meeting between the two, most recent first.
Upcoming fixtures
13 November 2026away to BulgariaUEFA Nations League47% win
16 November 2026vs LuxembourgUEFA Nations League44% win