The model rates their attack at 0.89× the league average and their defence at 0.84× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — hard to break down, short of goals. Next they travel to Serbia in the UEFA Nations League on 24 September 2026, a match the model gives them 40%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Greece vs Serbia
Greece travel to Serbia on 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 40% Greece, 30% draw and 30% Serbia, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.39 expected goals for Greece against 1.04. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Full preview and model analysis for Greece vs Serbia