The model rates their attack at 0.89× the league average and their defence at 1.17× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Next they travel to San Marino in the UEFA Nations League on 26 September 2026, a match the model gives them 50%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Finland vs San Marino
Finland travel to San Marino on 26 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. The model makes it 50% Finland, 28% draw and 22% San Marino, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.86 expected goals for Finland against 0.87. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Full preview and model analysis for Finland vs San Marino