On the model's scale they rate 0.59 in attack and 1.00 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better): below the division's average in attack, about average at the back. Next they travel to Luxembourg in the UEFA Nations League on 13 November 2026, a match the model gives them 28%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Estonia vs Luxembourg
Estonia travel to Luxembourg on 13 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. The model makes it 28% Estonia, 34% draw and 38% Luxembourg, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 0.77 expected goals for Estonia against 1.00. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 35% and over 2.5 goals at 26%.
Full preview and model analysis for Estonia vs Luxembourg
Recent meetings with Luxembourg
- 3 October 2026Estonia 1–0 LuxembourgUEFA Nations League
The last 1 meeting between the two, most recent first.