The model rates their attack at 1.21× the league average and their defence at 0.84× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — the model rates them above average at both ends. Next they travel to Czechia in the UEFA Nations League on 26 September 2026, a match the model gives them 47%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Croatia vs Czechia
Croatia travel to Czechia on 26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 47% Croatia, 27% draw and 26% Czechia, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.88 expected goals for Croatia against 1.11. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Full preview and model analysis for Croatia vs Czechia