Vasas
vs
Nyiregyhaza
NB I prediction
The model makes it 81% Vasas, 14% draw, 5% Nyiregyhaza — fair odds of 1.23, 7.14 and 20.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (17%).
Expected goals: Vasas 2.39, Nyiregyhaza 0.44.
Both teams to score: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Vasas
- W2-1away to Budapest Honved14 August 2026
- W5-0Zalaegerszegi TE8 August 2026
- D0-0away to Ferencvarosi TC2 August 2026
- D2-2Gyori ETO FC26 July 2026
Nyiregyhaza
- W2-1Kisvarda FC15 August 2026
- L0-1away to Debreceni VSC9 August 2026
- L0-4away to Gyori ETO FC2 August 2026
- W2-1Ujpest24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Vasas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 8 |
| 5 | Nyiregyhaza | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza
- 14 September 2024Vasas 1–1 NyiregyhazaMagyar Kupa
- 20 April 2024Nyiregyhaza 3–1 VasasNB II
- 22 October 2023Vasas 3–0 NyiregyhazaNB II
- 18 October 2022Nyiregyhaza 1–2 VasasMagyar Kupa
- 20 March 2022Nyiregyhaza 0–1 VasasNB II
- 29 September 2021Vasas 2–0 NyiregyhazaNB II
A clear gap in the ratings
Vasas carry a model rating of 6.81 against 6.11 for Nyiregyhaza. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Vasas D-D-W-W; Nyiregyhaza W-L-L-W.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.39 goals for Vasas and 0.44 for Nyiregyhaza. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Vasas rate 0.74 in attack and 0.85 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Nyiregyhaza rate 0.37 and 1.71.
That points to 54% for over two and a half goals and 33% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-0 (17%), 1-0 (14%), 3-0 (13%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 495 correct results out of 1026 settled predictions (48%), with 95 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Vasas the highest probability at 81%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.39 expected goals for Vasas against 0.44 for Nyiregyhaza. Vasas's attack/defence rating is 0.74/0.85 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.37/1.71 for Nyiregyhaza.