Gyori ETO FC
vs
Budapest Honved
NB I prediction
The model makes it 59% Gyori ETO FC, 25% draw, 16% Budapest Honved — fair odds of 1.69, 4.00 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (15%).
Expected goals: Gyori ETO FC 1.65, Budapest Honved 0.71.
Both teams to score: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 42%, under 2.5: 58%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Gyori ETO FC
- D1-1away to Debreceni VSC16 August 2026
- W4-0Nyiregyhaza2 August 2026
- D2-2away to Vasas26 July 2026
Budapest Honved
- L1-2Vasas14 August 2026
- D2-2away to Paks9 August 2026
- D3-3MTK Budapest1 August 2026
- D1-1away to Kisvarda FC25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gyori ETO FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 5 |
| 11 | Budapest Honved | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Gyori ETO FC vs Budapest Honved
- 6 July 2024Gyori ETO FC 3–0 Budapest HonvedFriendlies Clubs
- 11 March 2024Gyori ETO FC 0–1 Budapest HonvedNB II
- 3 September 2023Budapest Honved 2–1 Gyori ETO FCNB II
- 6 December 2014Budapest Honved 0–2 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 3 August 2014Gyori ETO FC 3–1 Budapest HonvedNB I
- 11 May 2014Gyori ETO FC 4–2 Budapest HonvedNB I
The two sides
Gyori ETO FC carry a model rating of 6.75 against 6.46 for Budapest Honved. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Gyori ETO FC D-W-D; Budapest Honved D-D-D-L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.65 goals for Gyori ETO FC and 0.71 for Budapest Honved. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Gyori ETO FC rate 0.67 in attack and 0.88 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Budapest Honved rate 0.58 and 1.30.
That points to 42% for over two and a half goals and 42% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 495 correct results out of 1026 settled predictions (48%), with 95 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Gyori ETO FC the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.65 expected goals for Gyori ETO FC against 0.71 for Budapest Honved. Gyori ETO FC's attack/defence rating is 0.67/0.88 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.58/1.3 for Budapest Honved.