Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Radnik Surdulica 1-0 Novi Pazar.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Radnik Surdulica, 27% draw, 29% Novi Pazar — fair odds of 2.27, 3.70 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Radnik Surdulica at 44% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar
Line-ups
- 99S. Randjelovic
- 22U. LazicD
- 6D. Stojanovic
- 37S. Abubakar
- 2T. SonhaD
- 5M. PopovicM
- 28A. PejovicM
- 47E. QuarshieM
- 7D. StojanovicM
- 20L. JovanovicM
- 92A. KosiahF
- 23L. RadojicicG
- 14U. IlicD
- 45Rafael PonteloD
- 21U. FilipovicD
- 3L. ZoricD
- 10R. OhoriM
- 25T. LakicF
- 11T. KljunF
- 44A. MilicevicF
- 1B. MatijasevicG
- 2A. MiljkovicD
- 4A. HadzimujovicD
- 23J. MarinkovicD
- 50T. DadicD
- 6P. GadioM
- 24I. DavidovicM
- 26D. Johnson AgwomM
- 10D. SadiM
- 20K. DixonM
- 99F. MulicF
- 12M. PrekovicG
- 32B. AdzicD
- 3V. MirosavicD
- 5S. MelentijevicD
- 11N. Skrobonja
- 14N. StankovicM
- 21M. PetrovicM
- 7JonnyF
Form going into Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar
Radnik Surdulica
- W2-1Macva15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Vojvodina9 August 2026
Novi Pazar
- W2-0Vojvodina17 August 2026
- L0-2away to FK Crvena Zvezda8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Novi Pazar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar
- 23 August 2026Radnik Surdulica 1–0 Novi PazarSuper Liga
- 9 July 2026Novi Pazar 0–1 Radnik SurdulicaFriendlies Clubs
- 22 April 2026Radnik Surdulica 2–0 Novi PazarSuper Liga
- 21 December 2025Radnik Surdulica 1–0 Novi PazarSuper Liga
- 16 August 2025Novi Pazar 2–0 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
- 27 April 2024Radnik Surdulica 1–4 Novi PazarSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Radnik Surdulica and Novi Pazar
Radnik Surdulica
- V. Bogdanović5 goals
- M. Novaković2 goals2 assists
Novi Pazar
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.