Livyi Bereh
vs
LNZ Cherkasy
Premier League prediction
Our model says: Livyi Bereh 0–0 LNZ Cherkasy
The model makes it 33% Livyi Bereh, 34% draw, 33% LNZ Cherkasy — fair odds of 3.03, 2.94 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-0 (16%).
Expected goals: Livyi Bereh 0.93, LNZ Cherkasy 0.92.
Both teams to score: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 28%, under 2.5: 72%.
Model confidence: Low.
A tight game: Livyi Bereh and LNZ Cherkasy are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Livyi Bereh are 12th on 7 points from 7 games; LNZ Cherkasy are 7th on 11 points from 8 games — Premier League.
- Livyi Bereh have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-3 defeat at home to Zorya Luhansk.
- LNZ Cherkasy have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to Kudrivka.
- Last 6 meetings: LNZ Cherkasy 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 22 March 2025, ended LNZ Cherkasy 2–0 Livyi Bereh.
More Ukrainian Premier League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy
Has the model earned this number?
It puts the draw at 34% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy
Livyi Bereh
- L1-3Zorya Luhansk12 October 2026
- W2-0away to Epitsentr Dunayivtsi19 September 2026
- L0-1away to Polessya13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Chornomorets4 September 2026
- D1-1Karpaty29 August 2026
LNZ Cherkasy
- W2-1Kudrivka11 October 2026
- L0-3away to Shakhtar Donetsk20 September 2026
- W3-1Obolon'-Brovar12 September 2026
- D0-0away to Dynamo Kyiv6 September 2026
- L0-1Veres Rivne30 August 2026
What these results say
- Livyi Bereh failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Livyi Bereh had two goals or fewer.
- LNZ Cherkasy conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Livyi Bereh
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 15% today
LNZ Cherkasy
Chance to finish in the top four · 7% today
From our Premier League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy
- 22 March 2025LNZ Cherkasy 2–0 Livyi BerehFriendlies Clubs
- 7 December 2024Livyi Bereh 3–1 LNZ CherkasyPremier League
- 4 August 2024LNZ Cherkasy 1–0 Livyi BerehPremier League
- 14 July 2024LNZ Cherkasy 2–1 Livyi BerehFriendlies Clubs
- 1 November 2021LNZ Cherkasy 2–1 Livyi BerehDruha Liga - Group A
- 25 July 2021Livyi Bereh 2–1 LNZ CherkasyDruha Liga - Group A
Leading scorers: Livyi Bereh and LNZ Cherkasy
Livyi Bereh
GoalsAssists
- N. Vorobchak20
- Wendell12
LNZ Cherkasy
GoalsAssists
- Talles20
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Livyi Bereh carry a model rating of 6.35 against 6.49 for LNZ Cherkasy. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 0.93 goals for Livyi Bereh and 0.92 for LNZ Cherkasy. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Livyi Bereh rate 0.47 in attack and 1.34 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; LNZ Cherkasy rate 0.57 and 1.21.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives a draw the highest probability at 34%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.93 expected goals for Livyi Bereh against 0.92 for LNZ Cherkasy. Livyi Bereh's attack/defence rating is 0.47/1.34 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/1.21 for LNZ Cherkasy.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Livyi Bereh at home · LNZ Cherkasy away
League matches only, Premier League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier League matches this season: Livyi Bereh 7, LNZ Cherkasy 8.
Livyi Bereh score most often in the 61–75 minute window (3 goals); LNZ Cherkasy have let in 5 there.
LNZ Cherkasy score most often in the 0–15 minute window (3 goals); Livyi Bereh have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Livyi Bereh
- vs Bukovyna31 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 39%
- at Obolon'-Brovar7 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 40%
- vs Shakhtar Donetsk21 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 16%
- vs Kolos Kovalivka28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 39%
LNZ Cherkasy
- vs FC Kharkiv31 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 31%
- at Zorya Luhansk7 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 31%
- vs Polessya21 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 32%
- at Epitsentr Dunayivtsi28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 37%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.