Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Hassania Agadir 1-2 Maghreb Fès.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Hassania Agadir, 31% draw, 41% Maghreb Fès — fair odds of 3.57, 3.23 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Maghreb Fès at 41%: of 2,664 settled 40–50% forecasts, 45.9% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès
Hassania Agadir
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Kawkab Marrakech27 September 2026
Maghreb Fès
All competitions we cover
- W2-1CR Khemis Zemamra27 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hassania Agadir | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Maghreb Fès | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès
- 29 April 2026Maghreb Fès 4–0 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
- 20 September 2025Hassania Agadir 0–2 Maghreb FèsBotola Pro
- 19 January 2025Hassania Agadir 2–2 Maghreb FèsBotola Pro
- 27 September 2024Maghreb Fès 1–0 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
- 27 May 2024Maghreb Fès 2–2 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
The result against the call
Maghreb Fès won 2–1 at Hassania Agadir. The model had made a win for Maghreb Fès its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. El Mahraoui 27' for Maghreb Fès, T. Mabasa (penalty) 39' for Maghreb Fès, I. Riahi (penalty) 56' for Hassania Agadir.
How the call on Hassania Agadir v Maghreb Fès has moved
First published on 20 Sep at 33% / 32% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 28% / 31% / 41%: the biggest move is Maghreb Fès's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Hassania Agadir win28%▼ −5
- Draw31%▼ −1
- Maghreb Fès win41%▲ +6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.