CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: CODM Meknès 0-1 Kawkab Marrakech.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% CODM Meknès, 30% draw, 33% Kawkab Marrakech — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
CODM Meknès at 37%: of 4,355 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.5% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech
CODM Meknès
All competitions we cover
- W6-2away to Difaa EL Jadida26 September 2026
Kawkab Marrakech
All competitions we cover
- L2-3Hassania Agadir27 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CODM Meknès | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 11 |
| 1 | Kawkab Marrakech | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech
- 22 May 2026Kawkab Marrakech 3–1 CODM MeknèsBotola Pro
- 26 October 2025CODM Meknès 1–0 Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
- 20 May 2024Kawkab Marrakech 1–2 CODM MeknèsBotola 2
- 19 November 2023CODM Meknès 1–0 Kawkab MarrakechBotola 2
The result against the call
Kawkab Marrakech won 1–0 at CODM Meknès. The model had leaned towards a win for CODM Meknès at 37% and given a win for Kawkab Marrakech 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: S. Essallami 83' for Kawkab Marrakech. Sent off: K. El Bounagate (CODM Meknès) 90+3'.
How the call on CODM Meknès v Kawkab Marrakech has moved
First published on 20 Sep at 45% / 27% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 37% / 30% / 33%: the biggest move is CODM Meknès's chance of winning, down 8 points.
- CODM Meknès win37%▼ −8
- Draw30%▲ +3
- Kawkab Marrakech win33%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.