Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-0 Hapoel Jerusalem.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Hapoel Petah Tikva, 37% draw, 26% Hapoel Jerusalem — fair odds of 2.70, 2.70 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hapoel Petah Tikva at 37% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
Hapoel Petah Tikva
- L0-1away to Ironi Tiberias22 August 2026
Hapoel Jerusalem
- L2-5Maccabi Tel Aviv23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Hapoel Petah Tikva and Hapoel Jerusalem
Hapoel Petah Tikva
- B. Gontran1 goals
- K. Kimvuidi1 goals
Hapoel Jerusalem
- A. Idoko2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.