29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-0 Hapoel Jerusalem.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Hapoel Petah Tikva, 37% draw, 26% Hapoel Jerusalem — fair odds of 2.70, 2.70 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Hapoel Petah Tikva at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hapoel Petah Tikva98%Draw2%Hapoel Jerusalem0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽K. Kimvuidiassist: F. Rivollier
14'
45'
Tamir Haimovich
52'
🔁T. Haimovichout: Y. Distelfeld
62'
🔁N. Warsanaout: O. Almagor
62'
🔁S. Zuberuout: A. Sani
🔁A. Cohenout: Cle
63'
🔁T. Altmanout: I. Ehud
71'
🔁F. Rivollierout: S. Mazal
71'
73'
ohad almagor
Stav Israeli
74'
77'
🔁A. Idokoout: O. Agvadish
77'
🔁I. Cohenout: I. Dappa
79'
•Ariel Yanai Distelfeld
🔁R. Davidout: M. Meir
86'
🔁K. Kimvuidiout: G. Badash
86'
Boni Amian
90+1'

Match stats — Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem

44%Possession56%
8Shots13
1On target2
1Corners3

Line-ups

Hapoel Petah Tikva
  • 1O. KatzG
  • 2A. CohenD
  • 12S. IsraeliD
  • 5A. Moucketou-MoussoundaD
  • 25O. DganiD
  • 72Y. NassarD
  • 8T. AltmanM
  • 29B. Amian
  • 26K. KimvuidiF
  • 9F. RivollierF
  • 16R. David
Substitutes
  • 18A. Mashiah
  • 3H. Shalom
  • 66M. Meir
  • 14E. Asante
  • 6I. EhudM
  • 28N. Cohen
  • 24G. BadashF
  • 77Cle
  • 7S. Mazal
Coach: Omer Peretz
Hapoel Jerusalem
  • 55N. ZamirG
  • 26I. Cohen
  • 4Y. Laish
  • 3N. MalmudD
  • 20O. NadirD
  • 91C. TiehiM
  • 70S. ZuberuM
  • 25A. IdokoF
  • 10V. DamascanF
  • 19N. Warsana
  • 22T. Haimovich
Substitutes
  • 1B. GordinG
  • 16O. AgvadishM
  • 18L. O. Mizrahi
  • 11Y. Distelfeld
  • 5A. Farada
  • 14O. Abuhav
  • 7O. AlmagorF
  • 33I. DappaF
  • 17A. Sani

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Hapoel Petah Tikva8116214-124
10Hapoel Jerusalem82151421-77

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Hapoel Petah Tikva and Hapoel Jerusalem

Hapoel Petah Tikva

No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.

Hapoel Jerusalem

GoalsAssists

  • A. Idoko42
  • N. Vrasana40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.