Hapoel Haifa
vs
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Ligat Ha'al prediction
Our model says: Hapoel Haifa 1–0 Hapoel Ramat Gan
The model makes it 42% Hapoel Haifa, 30% draw, 28% Hapoel Ramat Gan — fair odds of 2.38, 3.33 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Hapoel Haifa 1.49, Hapoel Ramat Gan 1.04.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Key facts
- Hapoel Haifa are 7th on 6 points from 5 games; Hapoel Ramat Gan are 11th on 3 points from 5 games — Ligat Ha'al.
- Hapoel Haifa have won 1 of their last 5, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Beitar Jerusalem.
- Hapoel Ramat Gan have won 1 of their last 5, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Bnei Sakhnin.
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hapoel Haifa at 42% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Haifa
- L1-2away to Beitar Jerusalem19 September 2026
- W3-1Bnei Sakhnin14 September 2026
- D1-1away to Maccabi Netanya7 September 2026
- D2-2away to Hapoel Beer Sheva2 September 2026
- D0-0Hapoel Tel Aviv30 August 2026
Hapoel Ramat Gan
- L0-1away to Bnei Sakhnin19 September 2026
- W2-0Maccabi Netanya14 September 2026
- L0-4away to Hapoel Tel Aviv7 September 2026
- L1-2Hapoel Beer Sheva29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Maccabi Haifa22 August 2026
What these results say
- Hapoel Haifa failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hapoel Haifa scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hapoel Haifa conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hapoel Ramat Gan failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hapoel Ramat Gan conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hapoel Haifa | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 11 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Leading scorers: Hapoel Haifa and Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Haifa
- A. Turgeman2 goals1 assist
Hapoel Ramat Gan
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Hapoel Haifa carry a model rating of 6.34 against 6.22 for Hapoel Ramat Gan. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.49 goals for Hapoel Haifa and 1.04 for Hapoel Ramat Gan. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Hapoel Haifa rate 0.54 in attack and 1.51 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Hapoel Ramat Gan rate 0.48 and 1.72.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hapoel Haifa the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.49 expected goals for Hapoel Haifa against 1.04 for Hapoel Ramat Gan. Hapoel Haifa's attack/defence rating is 0.54/1.51 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.48/1.72 for Hapoel Ramat Gan.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Hapoel Haifa at home · Hapoel Ramat Gan away
League matches only, Ligat Ha'al, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligat Ha'al matches this season: Hapoel Haifa 5, Hapoel Ramat Gan 5.
Hapoel Haifa score most often in the 16–30 minute window (3 goals); Hapoel Ramat Gan have let in 1 there.
Hapoel Ramat Gan score most often in the 76–90 minute window (2 goals); Hapoel Haifa have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Hapoel Haifa
- at Maccabi Tel Aviv24 Oct · Ligat Ha'alwin 19%
- vs Hapoel Petah Tikva31 Oct · Ligat Ha'alwin 39%
- at Ironi Kiryat Shmona7 Nov · Ligat Ha'alwin 36%
- vs Ironi Tiberias28 Nov · Ligat Ha'alwin 38%
Hapoel Ramat Gan
- vs Maccabi Petah Tikva24 Oct · Ligat Ha'alwin 38%
- vs Maccabi Tel Aviv31 Oct · Ligat Ha'alwin 19%
- at Hapoel Petah Tikva7 Nov · Ligat Ha'alwin 31%
- vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona28 Nov · Ligat Ha'alwin 35%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.