FC Voluntari
vs
Arges Pitesti
Liga I prediction
The model makes it 18% FC Voluntari, 25% draw, 57% Arges Pitesti — fair odds of 5.56, 4.00 and 1.75. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (13%).
Expected goals: FC Voluntari 0.82, Arges Pitesti 1.67.
Both teams to score: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
FC Voluntari
- L1-2Petrolul Ploiesti14 August 2026
- L0-4away to Dinamo Bucuresti8 August 2026
- W1-0Uta Arad1 August 2026
- L0-5away to CFR 1907 Cluj27 July 2026
- D2-2FC Botosani17 July 2026
Arges Pitesti
- D1-1Farul Constanta14 August 2026
- W1-0away to Universitatea Craiova9 August 2026
- W1-0Csikszereda31 July 2026
- W1-0Petrolul Ploiesti24 July 2026
- L0-2away to FCSB17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | FC Voluntari | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 4 | Arges Pitesti | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: FC Voluntari vs Arges Pitesti
- 13 May 2025Arges Pitesti 0–0 FC VoluntariLiga II
- 15 April 2025FC Voluntari 0–0 Arges PitestiLiga II
- 21 November 2024Arges Pitesti 1–0 FC VoluntariLiga II
- 2 April 2023Arges Pitesti 0–2 FC VoluntariLiga I
- 6 March 2023FC Voluntari 0–0 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 14 October 2022Arges Pitesti 0–0 FC VoluntariLiga I
Leading scorers
FC Voluntari
No league goals recorded yet.
Arges Pitesti
- R. Moldoveanu3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
FC Voluntari carry a model rating of 6.06 against 6.64 for Arges Pitesti. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): FC Voluntari D-L-W-L-L; Arges Pitesti L-W-W-W-D.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.82 goals for FC Voluntari and 1.67 for Arges Pitesti. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Voluntari rate 0.49 in attack and 2.39 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Arges Pitesti rate 0.50 and 0.89.
That points to 46% for over two and a half goals and 46% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 495 correct results out of 1026 settled predictions (48%), with 95 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Arges Pitesti the highest probability at 57%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.82 expected goals for FC Voluntari against 1.67 for Arges Pitesti. FC Voluntari's attack/defence rating is 0.49/2.39 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.5/0.89 for Arges Pitesti.