CFR 1907 Cluj
vs
Farul Constanta
Liga I prediction
The model makes it 30% CFR 1907 Cluj, 21% draw, 49% Farul Constanta — fair odds of 3.33, 4.76 and 2.04. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (8%).
Expected goals: CFR 1907 Cluj 1.80, Farul Constanta 2.28.
Both teams to score: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 77%, under 2.5: 23%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
CFR 1907 Cluj
- L0-3away to Corvinul Hunedoara16 August 2026
- L1-3away to Rapid2 August 2026
- W5-0FC Voluntari27 July 2026
- L1-2away to Oțelul18 July 2026
Farul Constanta
- D1-1away to Arges Pitesti14 August 2026
- W3-2Csikszereda8 August 2026
- D2-2away to FCSB3 August 2026
- W2-0Corvinul Hunedoara25 July 2026
- L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | Farul Constanta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: CFR 1907 Cluj vs Farul Constanta
- 28 February 2026Farul Constanta 1–2 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 25 October 2025CFR 1907 Cluj 0–2 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 24 April 2025CFR 1907 Cluj 4–1 Farul ConstantaCupa României
- 27 January 2025CFR 1907 Cluj 3–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 1 September 2024Farul Constanta 0–3 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 18 May 2024CFR 1907 Cluj 5–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
Leading scorers
CFR 1907 Cluj
- S. Dražić3 goals1 assists
- A. Cordea3 goals
Farul Constanta
- E. Rădăslăvescu3 goals2 assists
- Iustin Doicaru3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
CFR 1907 Cluj carry a model rating of 6.4 against 6.7 for Farul Constanta. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): CFR 1907 Cluj L-W-L-L; Farul Constanta L-W-D-W-D.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.80 goals for CFR 1907 Cluj and 2.28 for Farul Constanta. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
CFR 1907 Cluj rate 0.61 in attack and 1.51 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Farul Constanta rate 1.08 and 1.56.
That points to 77% for over two and a half goals and 75% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 495 correct results out of 1026 settled predictions (48%), with 95 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Farul Constanta the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.8 expected goals for CFR 1907 Cluj against 2.28 for Farul Constanta. CFR 1907 Cluj's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.51 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.08/1.56 for Farul Constanta.