Chippa United
vs
Sekhukhune United
Premier Soccer League prediction
Our model says: Chippa United 0–1 Sekhukhune United
The model makes it 31% Chippa United, 33% draw, 36% Sekhukhune United — fair odds of 3.23, 3.03 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Chippa United 0.92, Sekhukhune United 1.03.
Both teams to score: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 31%, under 2.5: 69%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 37% of the time, over 930 settled matches.
Edge to Sekhukhune United: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 21 October 2026. Chippa United's rating is built from 38 South African Premier Soccer League matches and Sekhukhune United's from 38, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 538 matches.
Key facts
- Chippa United are 9th on 8 points from 8 games; Sekhukhune United are 6th on 14 points from 8 games — Premier Soccer League.
- Chippa United have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Kruger United.
- Sekhukhune United are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to Marumo Gallants.
- Last 6 meetings: Sekhukhune United 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 6 May 2026, ended Chippa United 1–3 Sekhukhune United.
More South African Premier Soccer League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Chippa United vs Sekhukhune United
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sekhukhune United at 36% here. Across 4,371 settled matches (as of 21 October 2026), 3,397 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Chippa United vs Sekhukhune United
Chippa United
- L0-1Kruger United17 October 2026
- W1-0away to TS Galaxy20 September 2026
- D1-1Mamelodi Sundowns12 September 2026
- D0-0Milford FC5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Siwelele25 August 2026
Sekhukhune United
- W2-1Marumo Gallants17 October 2026
- W3-2away to Richards Bay19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Stellenbosch11 September 2026
- D0-0TS Galaxy5 September 2026
- L0-2away to Orlando Pirates25 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for Chippa United had two goals or fewer.
- Chippa United failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sekhukhune United conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chippa United | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Sekhukhune United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Chippa United vs Sekhukhune United
- 6 May 2026Chippa United 1–3 Sekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League
- 24 September 2025Sekhukhune United 1–1 Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer League
- 22 February 2025Chippa United 0–1 Sekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League
- 25 September 2024Sekhukhune United 1–1 Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer League
- 25 May 2024Chippa United 0–1 Sekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League
- 6 December 2023Sekhukhune United 2–0 Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer League
Leading scorers: Chippa United and Sekhukhune United
Chippa United
No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Sekhukhune United
GoalsAssists
- E. Rammala21
- B. Muzeu21
- T. Mokoane20
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Chippa United carry a model rating of 6.18 against 6.35 for Sekhukhune United. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 0.92 goals for Chippa United and 1.03 for Sekhukhune United. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Chippa United rate 0.46 in attack and 1.78 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Sekhukhune United rate 0.61 and 1.66.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Chippa United a 0% chance of the title and Sekhukhune United 0.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,110 correct results out of 4,378 settled predictions (48%), with 443 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Sekhukhune United the highest probability at 36%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.92 expected goals for Chippa United against 1.03 for Sekhukhune United. Chippa United's attack/defence rating is 0.46/1.78 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/1.66 for Sekhukhune United.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Chippa United at home · Sekhukhune United away
League matches only, Premier Soccer League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier Soccer League matches this season: Chippa United 8, Sekhukhune United 8.
Sekhukhune United score most often in the 16–30 minute window (3 goals); Chippa United have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Chippa United
- vs Kaizer Chiefs28 Nov · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 25%
- at Marumo Gallants4 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 32%
- vs Amazulu15 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 27%
- at Durban City20 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 24%
Sekhukhune United
- vs Siwelele29 Nov · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 45%
- vs Amazulu5 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 35%
- at Mamelodi Sundowns15 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 17%
- vs Golden Arrows19 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 38%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.