Al-Sailiya
vs
Qatar SC
Stars League prediction
Our model says: Al-Sailiya 1–2 Qatar SC
The model makes it 32% Al-Sailiya, 27% draw, 41% Qatar SC — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Al-Sailiya 1.51, Qatar SC 1.84.
Both teams to score: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%, under 2.5: 35%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Al-Sailiya are bottom on 0 points from 4 games; Qatar SC are 10th on 2 points from 4 games — Stars League.
- Al-Sailiya have not won in their last 4, most recently a 3-6 defeat at home to Al Sadd.
- Qatar SC have not won in their last 4, most recently a 0-0 draw away to Al-Arabi SC.
- Last 6 meetings: Qatar SC 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 17 January 2026, ended Al-Sailiya 2–1 Qatar SC.
All Qatar Stars League predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Qatar SC at 41% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC
Al-Sailiya
- L3-6Al Sadd10 September 2026
- L0-2Al-Arabi SC3 September 2026
- L2-3away to Al Shahaniya29 August 2026
- L0-2away to Al-Duhail SC22 August 2026
Qatar SC
- D0-0away to Al-Arabi SC12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Al Ahli Doha3 September 2026
- L2-6Al Sadd28 August 2026
- D2-2away to Al Wakrah20 August 2026
What these results say
- Al-Sailiya did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Al-Sailiya conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Qatar SC did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Qatar SC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 0 |
| 10 | Qatar SC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC
- 17 January 2026Al-Sailiya 2–1 Qatar SCStars League
- 21 August 2025Qatar SC 2–0 Al-SailiyaStars League
- 21 February 2023Qatar SC 1–1 Al-SailiyaStars League
- 7 October 2022Al-Sailiya 0–2 Qatar SCQSL Cup
- 15 August 2022Al-Sailiya 1–2 Qatar SCStars League
- 25 February 2022Al-Sailiya 1–1 Qatar SCStars League
Leading scorers: Al-Sailiya and Qatar SC
Al-Sailiya
- Ali Olwan2 goals
- Ahmed Doozandeh1 goal
Qatar SC
No player in Stars League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Al-Sailiya carry a model rating of 6.16 against 6.28 for Qatar SC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.51 goals for Al-Sailiya and 1.84 for Qatar SC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Al-Sailiya rate 0.51 in attack and 2.02 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Qatar SC rate 0.53 and 1.66.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Qatar SC the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.51 expected goals for Al-Sailiya against 1.84 for Qatar SC. Al-Sailiya's attack/defence rating is 0.51/2.02 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.53/1.66 for Qatar SC.
Season stats
Al-Sailiya at home · Qatar SC away
League matches only, Stars League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Stars League matches this season: Al-Sailiya 4, Qatar SC 4.
Al-Sailiya score most often in the 46–60 minute window (2 goals); Qatar SC have let in 0 there.
Qatar SC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (2 goals); Al-Sailiya have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Al-Sailiya
- at Al-Rayyan SC22 Oct · Stars Leaguewin 20%
- vs Lusail City6 Nov · Stars Leaguewin 24%
- at Al Shamal20 Nov · Stars Leaguewin 25%
- at Al Wakrah27 Nov · Stars Leaguewin 30%
Qatar SC
- at Al Shamal22 Oct · Stars Leaguewin 29%
- vs Al-Gharafa6 Nov · Stars Leaguewin 38%
- at Lusail City20 Nov · Stars Leaguewin 27%
- at Al-Duhail SC27 Nov · Stars Leaguewin 27%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.