Challenge League

1. Stade Lausanne-Ouchy — 24 points from 10 played (7 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost), 20 scored, 3 conceded, goal difference +17. Form, oldest first: W W W D W.
2. Yverdon Sport — 19 points from 10 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost), 16 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: W W L D W.
3. FC Winterthur — 18 points from 10 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 19 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: D W W W L.
4. SC Kriens — 15 points from 10 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 17 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: D L D W D.
5. Neuchatel Xamax FC — 15 points from 10 played (5 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost), 15 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L L W L W.
6. FC Aarau — 12 points from 10 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 15 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D W D L L.
7. Rapperswil — 10 points from 10 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 6 lost), 15 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: D L W W L.
8. FC WIL 1900 — 10 points from 10 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 16 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: D D L W D.
9. Étoile Carouge — 9 points from 10 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 8 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: L D L L L.
10. Stade Nyonnais — 5 points from 10 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 7 lost), 8 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -16. Form, oldest first: D L L L W.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 8 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Neuchatel Xamax FC — bottom-three risk down 0.2, to 8.8%.
• Étoile Carouge — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 75.6%.
• FC Aarau — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 8.5%.
• FC WIL 1900 — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 54.6%.
• FC Winterthur — title chance down 0.1, to 5.8%.

Season projection

Every one of the 40 matches this competition has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. Movement is measured against 2026-10-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Stade Lausanne-Ouchy — projected to finish on 39.2 points, from 24 after 10 played. Wins it 81.1% (up 0.1), finishes top four 99.8%, bottom one 0%.
2. Yverdon Sport — projected to finish on 32.9 points, from 19 after 10 played. Wins it 12% (down 0.1), finishes top four 92.4%, bottom one 0%.
3. FC Winterthur — projected to finish on 30.8 points, from 18 after 10 played. Wins it 5.8% (down 0.1), finishes top four 86%, bottom one 0%.
4. SC Kriens — projected to finish on 26.4 points, from 15 after 10 played. Wins it 0.6%, finishes top four 46.4%, bottom one 0%.
5. Neuchatel Xamax FC — projected to finish on 25.5 points, from 15 after 10 played. Wins it 0.2%, finishes top four 30.2%, bottom one 0.1%.
6. FC Aarau — projected to finish on 25.5 points, from 12 after 10 played. Wins it 0.2%, finishes top four 35.2%, bottom one 0.1%.
7. Rapperswil — projected to finish on 20.1 points, from 10 after 10 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 5.5%, bottom one 2.4%.
8. FC WIL 1900 — projected to finish on 19.7 points, from 10 after 10 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 3.4%, bottom one 3.1%.
9. Étoile Carouge — projected to finish on 17.6 points, from 9 after 10 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 1.1%, bottom one 7.3%.
10. Stade Nyonnais — projected to finish on 10.7 points, from 5 after 10 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom one 87%.