1. Lig

1. Kayserispor — 19 points from 8 played (6 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 15 scored, 3 conceded, goal difference +12. Form, oldest first: L D W W W.
2. Bursaspor — 19 points from 8 played (6 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 16 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W W W D W.
3. Iğdır FK — 16 points from 8 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 12 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
4. Batman Petrolspor — 16 points from 8 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 15 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W W W L L.
5. Sarıyer — 14 points from 8 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 11 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W W L D W.
6. Keçiörengücü — 13 points from 8 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost), 17 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: D W W D D.
7. Mardin 1969 — 12 points from 8 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 9 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: D D W L L.
8. Antalyaspor — 12 points from 8 played (4 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost), 14 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: L W L W W.
9. Fatih Karagümrük — 12 points from 8 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 12 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D D L D W.
10. Muğlaspor — 11 points from 8 played (2 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost), 8 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W W D D D.
11. Bandırmaspor — 10 points from 8 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 12 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: D L W D L.
12. Pendikspor — 10 points from 8 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 10 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D L W D D.
13. Manisa F.K. — 9 points from 8 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 12 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: D L L D L.
14. Bodrum FK — 8 points from 8 played (1 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost), 7 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D D L W D.
15. Sivasspor — 8 points from 8 played (1 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost), 9 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L D W D D.
16. Ümraniyespor — 6 points from 8 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 6 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D L L L W.
17. Esenler Erokspor — 5 points from 8 played (0 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost), 4 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: L D L D L.
18. İstanbulspor — 5 points from 8 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 7 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: D L L L W.
19. Vanspor FK — 4 points from 8 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 8 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: D L D D L.
20. Boluspor — 1 points from 8 played (0 won, 1 drawn, 7 lost), 3 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -17. Form, oldest first: L L L D L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-03, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 11 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Muğlaspor — bottom-three risk up 0.6, to 10.2%.
• Antalyaspor — chance of finishing top down 0.1, to 5.3%; bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 1.3%.
• Bandırmaspor — chance of finishing top up 0.1, to 1.5%; bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 2.3%.
• Batman Petrolspor — chance of finishing top up 0.1, to 2.4%.
• Boluspor — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 92.4%.

Season projection

Every one of the 300 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Quarter-finals, Semi-finals, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-03, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Bursaspor — projected to finish on 75.9 points, from 19 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 55.6%, finishes top four 89%, bottom three 0%.
2. Kayserispor — projected to finish on 64.8 points, from 19 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 14%, finishes top four 53.9%, bottom three 0.3%.
3. Keçiörengücü — projected to finish on 62 points, from 13 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 6%, finishes top four 41.7%, bottom three 0.4%.
4. Fatih Karagümrük — projected to finish on 61.6 points, from 12 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 5.8% (up 0.1), finishes top four 39.4%, bottom three 0.4%.
5. Antalyaspor — projected to finish on 60 points, from 12 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 5.3% (down 0.1), finishes top four 34.4%, bottom three 1.3%.
6. Iğdır FK — projected to finish on 59.6 points, from 16 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 4.2%, finishes top four 31.7%, bottom three 1%.
7. Batman Petrolspor — projected to finish on 56.6 points, from 16 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.4% (up 0.1), finishes top four 21.8%, bottom three 2.8%.
8. Mardin 1969 — projected to finish on 56.1 points, from 12 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.9%, finishes top four 19.9%, bottom three 1.7%.
9. Bandırmaspor — projected to finish on 54.9 points, from 10 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.5% (up 0.1), finishes top four 16.7%, bottom three 2.3%.
10. Bodrum FK — projected to finish on 53.9 points, from 8 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.2%, finishes top four 14.1%, bottom three 2.7%.
11. Sarıyer — projected to finish on 53.7 points, from 14 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1%, finishes top four 13%, bottom three 3.8%.
12. Esenler Erokspor — projected to finish on 48.9 points, from 5 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.5%, finishes top four 6%, bottom three 10.7%.
13. Pendikspor — projected to finish on 48.8 points, from 10 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.3%, finishes top four 4.7%, bottom three 8.6%.
14. Muğlaspor — projected to finish on 48.5 points, from 11 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top four 4.6%, bottom three 10.2%.
15. Manisa F.K. — projected to finish on 46.3 points, from 9 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top four 4.1%, bottom three 15.1%.
16. Sivasspor — projected to finish on 46 points, from 8 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 3.2%, bottom three 16.5%.
17. Ümraniyespor — projected to finish on 42.6 points, from 6 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.3%, bottom three 25.3%.
18. İstanbulspor — projected to finish on 38.8 points, from 5 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.5%, bottom three 43.8%.
19. Vanspor FK — projected to finish on 35.2 points, from 4 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 61%.
20. Boluspor — projected to finish on 24.6 points, from 1 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 92.4%.

Top scorers

1. K. Ịheanachọ (Bursaspor) — 11 goals, 2 assists.
2. T. Seferi (Kayserispor) — 7 goals.
3. R. Manaj (Sivasspor) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
4. A. Pešić (Fatih Karagümrük) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
5. M. Diouf (Keçiörengücü) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
6. D. Moreno (Kayserispor) — 5 goals.
7. J. Anziani (Manisa F.K.) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
8. C. Sylla (Manisa F.K.) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
9. Y. Uzunoglu (Muğlaspor) — 4 goals.
10. G. Bruno (Bandırmaspor) — 4 goals.
11. B. Kör (Sarıyer) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
12. A. Badji (Bandırmaspor) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
13. P. Yaldır (Batman Petrolspor) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
14. Thuram (Pendikspor) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
15. F. Ezeh (Keçiörengücü) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
16. O. Kayode (Mardin 1969) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
17. E. Bilsel (Bodrum FK) — 3 goals.
18. J. Bardhi (Vanspor FK) — 3 goals.
19. C. Soukou (Ümraniyespor) — 3 goals.
20. Pedrinho (Batman Petrolspor) — 3 goals.