Allsvenskan

1. Sirius — 55 points from 26 played (17 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost), 56 scored, 34 conceded, goal difference +22. Form, oldest first: W W D L L.
2. Hammarby FF — 52 points from 26 played (16 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost), 54 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference +33. Form, oldest first: W L W W W.
3. Djurgardens IF — 49 points from 26 played (15 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost), 53 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference +29. Form, oldest first: L W W D D.
4. BK Hacken — 46 points from 26 played (12 won, 10 drawn, 4 lost), 47 scored, 30 conceded, goal difference +17. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
5. IF Elfsborg — 43 points from 26 played (11 won, 10 drawn, 5 lost), 39 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference +13. Form, oldest first: W W D D D.
6. Vasteras SK FK — 41 points from 26 played (12 won, 5 drawn, 9 lost), 39 scored, 38 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W L W L W.
7. Malmo FF — 40 points from 26 played (12 won, 4 drawn, 10 lost), 41 scored, 34 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: L W L D W.
8. AIK Stockholm — 38 points from 26 played (10 won, 8 drawn, 8 lost), 42 scored, 45 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L L D W D.
9. IFK Goteborg — 38 points from 26 played (10 won, 8 drawn, 8 lost), 36 scored, 45 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: W W D D D.
10. Gais — 34 points from 26 played (9 won, 7 drawn, 10 lost), 32 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W L L D W.
11. IF Brommapojkarna — 34 points from 26 played (9 won, 7 drawn, 10 lost), 39 scored, 43 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L W L W D.
12. Mjallby AIF — 26 points from 26 played (6 won, 8 drawn, 12 lost), 30 scored, 43 conceded, goal difference -13. Form, oldest first: L D L L W.
13. Kalmar FF — 22 points from 26 played (6 won, 4 drawn, 16 lost), 23 scored, 42 conceded, goal difference -19. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.
14. Degerfors IF — 20 points from 26 played (5 won, 5 drawn, 16 lost), 21 scored, 44 conceded, goal difference -23. Form, oldest first: L D L L L.
15. Orgryte IS — 19 points from 26 played (4 won, 7 drawn, 15 lost), 32 scored, 58 conceded, goal difference -26. Form, oldest first: L L W D L.
16. Halmstad — 17 points from 26 played (4 won, 5 drawn, 17 lost), 18 scored, 49 conceded, goal difference -31. Form, oldest first: W L L W L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-29, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 8 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Sirius — chance of finishing top down 11.6, to 63.9%.
• Orgryte IS — bottom-three risk up 10.4, to 70.7%.
• Hammarby FF — chance of finishing top up 10, to 27.7%.
• Mjallby AIF — bottom-three risk down 8.4, to 0.8%.
• Degerfors IF — bottom-three risk down 4.7, to 85.9%.

Season projection

Every one of the 32 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-29, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Sirius — projected to finish on 62.1 points, from 55 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 63.9% (down 11.6), finishes top three 99.9%, bottom two 0%.
2. Hammarby FF — projected to finish on 59.7 points, from 52 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 27.7% (up 10), finishes top three 98.9%, bottom two 0%.
3. Djurgardens IF — projected to finish on 57.3 points, from 49 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 8.5% (up 1.7), finishes top three 91.8%, bottom two 0%.
4. BK Hacken — projected to finish on 52 points, from 46 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 8.9%, bottom two 0%.
5. IF Elfsborg — projected to finish on 48.8 points, from 43 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0.5%, bottom two 0%.
6. Vasteras SK FK — projected to finish on 46.4 points, from 41 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom two 0%.
7. Malmo FF — projected to finish on 45.8 points, from 40 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom two 0%.
8. AIK Stockholm — projected to finish on 44.3 points, from 38 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom two 0%.
9. IFK Goteborg — projected to finish on 42.1 points, from 38 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom two 0%.
10. IF Brommapojkarna — projected to finish on 40.2 points, from 34 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom two 0%.
11. Gais — projected to finish on 40.1 points, from 34 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom two 0%.
12. Mjallby AIF — projected to finish on 31.6 points, from 26 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom two 0%.
13. Kalmar FF — projected to finish on 25.7 points, from 22 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom two 12.4%.
14. Orgryte IS — projected to finish on 24.1 points, from 19 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom two 38.1%.
15. Degerfors IF — projected to finish on 23.1 points, from 20 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom two 53.6%.
16. Halmstad — projected to finish on 19.7 points, from 17 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom two 96%.

Top scorers

1. K. Lien (Djurgardens IF) — 16 goals, 6 assists.
2. P. Abraham (Hammarby FF) — 15 goals, 3 assists.
3. R. Ure (Sirius) — 15 goals, 2 assists.
4. I. Bjerkebo (Sirius) — 14 goals, 6 assists.
5. G. Lindgren (BK Hacken) — 13 goals, 1 assist.
6. Bo Åsulv Hegland (Djurgardens IF) — 11 goals, 15 assists.
7. E. Botheim (Malmo FF) — 10 goals, 3 assists.
8. A. Taonsa (Vasteras SK FK) — 10 goals, 1 assist.
9. J. Bergström (Mjallby AIF) — 10 goals.
10. V. Lind (Hammarby FF) — 10 goals, 12 assists.
11. J. Hove (AIK Stockholm) — 10 goals, 3 assists.
12. Julius Lindberg (BK Hacken) — 9 goals, 8 assists.
13. L. Östman (IF Elfsborg) — 9 goals, 2 assists.
14. M. Ladefoged (Vasteras SK FK) — 9 goals, 2 assists.
15. N. Christoffersson (Orgryte IS) — 8 goals, 1 assist.
16. M. Hansen (IF Brommapojkarna) — 8 goals, 7 assists.
17. S. Larsson (IFK Goteborg) — 8 goals, 3 assists.
18. A. Svanbäck (BK Hacken) — 7 goals, 8 assists.
19. C. Rosenquist (Djurgardens IF) — 7 goals, 1 assist.
20. N. Vasić (Gais) — 7 goals.