Allsvenskan

1. Sirius — 48 points from 21 played (15 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 50 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference +23. Form, oldest first: L L L W W.
2. Djurgardens IF — 41 points from 21 played (13 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 46 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference +27. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
3. Hammarby FF — 40 points from 21 played (12 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost), 48 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference +28. Form, oldest first: W W L D W.
4. IF Elfsborg — 34 points from 21 played (9 won, 7 drawn, 5 lost), 29 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W D W L W.
5. Malmo FF — 33 points from 21 played (10 won, 3 drawn, 8 lost), 37 scored, 31 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W L W D W.
6. BK Hacken — 33 points from 21 played (8 won, 9 drawn, 4 lost), 34 scored, 30 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: W W L D D.
7. AIK Stockholm — 32 points from 20 played (9 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost), 29 scored, 31 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: W W W D L.
8. Vasteras SK FK — 32 points from 21 played (9 won, 5 drawn, 7 lost), 32 scored, 35 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L D W L W.
9. IFK Goteborg — 29 points from 21 played (8 won, 5 drawn, 8 lost), 30 scored, 41 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: L D W W W.
10. Gais — 27 points from 21 played (7 won, 6 drawn, 8 lost), 25 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: L L W D L.
11. IF Brommapojkarna — 27 points from 21 played (7 won, 6 drawn, 8 lost), 30 scored, 35 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: W W L W L.
12. Mjallby AIF — 21 points from 20 played (5 won, 6 drawn, 9 lost), 26 scored, 34 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: W L L L D.
13. Kalmar FF — 19 points from 21 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 12 lost), 21 scored, 31 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L D L L L.
14. Degerfors IF — 19 points from 21 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 12 lost), 19 scored, 33 conceded, goal difference -14. Form, oldest first: W L L W L.
15. Orgryte IS — 15 points from 21 played (3 won, 6 drawn, 12 lost), 24 scored, 47 conceded, goal difference -23. Form, oldest first: L D L D L.
16. Halmstad — 11 points from 21 played (2 won, 5 drawn, 14 lost), 14 scored, 39 conceded, goal difference -25. Form, oldest first: L D W L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 11 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Sirius — chance of finishing top up 20.7, to 77.9%.
• Djurgardens IF — chance of finishing top down 12, to 14%.
• Hammarby FF — chance of finishing top down 8.4, to 8%.
• Degerfors IF — bottom-three risk up 1, to 56.7%.
• Kalmar FF — bottom-three risk down 0.6, to 37.8%.

Season projection

Every one of the 73 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Sirius — projected to finish on 62.7 points, from 48 after 21 played. Finishes top of the regular season 77.9% (up 20.7), finishes top four 100%, bottom three 0%.
2. Djurgardens IF — projected to finish on 56.6 points, from 41 after 21 played. Finishes top of the regular season 14% (down 12), finishes top four 97.7%, bottom three 0%.
3. Hammarby FF — projected to finish on 55 points, from 40 after 21 played. Finishes top of the regular season 8% (down 8.4), finishes top four 94%, bottom three 0%.
4. AIK Stockholm — projected to finish on 47.2 points, from 32 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (down 0.1), finishes top four 27.6%, bottom three 0%.
5. IF Elfsborg — projected to finish on 46.5 points, from 34 after 21 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 23.4%, bottom three 0%.
6. BK Hacken — projected to finish on 46.2 points, from 33 after 21 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top four 21.9%, bottom three 0%.
7. Malmo FF — projected to finish on 45.8 points, from 33 after 21 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top four 19.1%, bottom three 0%.
8. Vasteras SK FK — projected to finish on 45.5 points, from 32 after 21 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top four 13.6%, bottom three 0%.
9. Gais — projected to finish on 40 points, from 27 after 21 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.3%, bottom three 0.6%.
10. IF Brommapojkarna — projected to finish on 39.4 points, from 27 after 21 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1%, bottom three 0.9%.
11. IFK Goteborg — projected to finish on 38.6 points, from 29 after 21 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.4%, bottom three 1.1%.
12. Mjallby AIF — projected to finish on 34.7 points, from 21 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 11.3%.
13. Kalmar FF — projected to finish on 30.8 points, from 19 after 21 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 37.8%.
14. Degerfors IF — projected to finish on 29.6 points, from 19 after 21 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 56.7%.
15. Orgryte IS — projected to finish on 24.9 points, from 15 after 21 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 92.1%.
16. Halmstad — projected to finish on 19.6 points, from 11 after 21 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 99.6%.

Top scorers

1. K. Lien (Djurgardens IF) — 15 goals, 4 assists.
2. R. Ure (Sirius) — 15 goals, 2 assists.
3. P. Abraham (Hammarby FF) — 13 goals, 3 assists.
4. I. Bjerkebo (Sirius) — 13 goals, 5 assists.
5. E. Botheim (Malmo FF) — 10 goals, 3 assists.
6. G. Lindgren (BK Hacken) — 9 goals.
7. V. Lind (Hammarby FF) — 9 goals, 11 assists.
8. M. Ladefoged (Vasteras SK FK) — 9 goals, 2 assists.
9. Bo Åsulv Hegland (Djurgardens IF) — 8 goals, 14 assists.
10. N. Christoffersson (Orgryte IS) — 8 goals, 1 assist.
11. J. Bergström (Mjallby AIF) — 8 goals.
12. C. Rosenquist (Kalmar FF) — 7 goals, 1 assist.
13. M. Hansen (IF Brommapojkarna) — 7 goals, 6 assists.
14. S. Larsson (IFK Goteborg) — 7 goals, 2 assists.
15. T. Heintz (IFK Goteborg) — 6 goals, 5 assists.
16. Julius Lindberg (BK Hacken) — 6 goals, 5 assists.
17. S. Salter (Gais) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
18. L. Östman (IF Elfsborg) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
19. P. Åslund (Djurgardens IF) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
20. A. Taonsa (Vasteras SK FK) — 6 goals.