Rosario Central
vs
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction
Our model says: Rosario Central 1–0 Huracan
The model makes it 47% Rosario Central, 32% draw, 21% Huracan — fair odds of 2.13, 3.13 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (18%).
Expected goals: Rosario Central 1.23, Huracan 0.66.
Both teams to score: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 29%, under 2.5: 71%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Edge to Rosario Central: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Match centre: line-ups, live score and match stats →
Key facts
- Rosario Central are top on 22 points from 12 games; Huracan are 5th on 19 points from 12 games — Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura - Group B.
- Rosario Central are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 5-0 win at home to Independiente Rivadavia.
- Huracan have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Barracas Central.
- Last 6 meetings: Huracan 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 12 April 2026, ended Huracan 3–1 Rosario Central.
More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Rosario Central vs Huracan
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rosario Central at 47% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Rosario Central vs Huracan
Rosario Central
- W5-0Independiente Rivadavia11 October 2026
- D1-1away to Banfield6 October 2026
- W1-0Argentinos Juniors20 September 2026
- W1-0away to Tigre13 September 2026
- D1-1Newell's Old Boys6 September 2026
Huracan
- L0-2away to Barracas Central10 October 2026
- W1-0Aldosivi4 October 2026
- W2-1away to River Plate19 September 2026
- W2-1Racing Club14 September 2026
- D1-1away to Belgrano Cordoba4 September 2026
What these results say
- Rosario Central went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Rosario Central scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Rosario Central had two goals or fewer.
- Huracan scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Huracan conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 | Huracan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Rosario Central
Chance to finish top of the Clausura Group A · 40% today
Huracan
Chance to finish in the top four · 22% today
From our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Huracan vs Rosario Central
Huracan and Rosario Central have met 6 times in the records we hold, Huracan has won 4 of them to Rosario Central's 2.
The record
Huracan won the last one 3–1 on 12 Apr 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| Rosario Central | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
Between them these 6 meetings produced 11 goals, an average of 1.83 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 12 Apr 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaHuracan 3–1 Rosario Central - 18 May 2025
Liga Profesional ArgentinaRosario Central 0–1 Huracan - 27 Jul 2024
Liga Profesional ArgentinaRosario Central 0–1 Huracan - 1 Mar 2024
Copa de la Liga ProfesionalHuracan 2–0 Rosario Central - 6 Oct 2023
Copa de la Liga ProfesionalRosario Central 1–0 Huracan - 21 Mar 2023
Liga Profesional ArgentinaHuracan 0–2 Rosario Central
How the model rates them now
Attack and defence are multipliers on an average side: above 1.00 in attack means the club scores more than the average team in its competition, and below 1.00 in defence means it concedes fewer. The methodology sets out how they are derived, including where the model is known to be wrong.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Huracan | 0.71 | 1.05 |
| Rosario Central | 0.95 | 1.01 |
Leading scorers: Rosario Central and Huracan
Rosario Central
GoalsAssists
- Á. Di María104
Huracan
GoalsAssists
- J. Caicedo130
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Rosario Central carry a model rating of 6.82 against 6.67 for Huracan. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 1.23 goals for Rosario Central and 0.66 for Huracan. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Rosario Central rate 0.95 in attack and 1.01 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Huracan rate 0.71 and 1.05.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,771 correct results out of 3,709 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rosario Central the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.23 expected goals for Rosario Central against 0.66 for Huracan. Rosario Central's attack/defence rating is 0.95/1.01 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/1.05 for Huracan.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Rosario Central at home · Huracan away
League matches only, Liga Profesional Argentina, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga Profesional Argentina matches this season: Rosario Central 30, Huracan 29.
Rosario Central score most often in the 76–90 minute window (11 goals); Huracan have let in 4 there.
Huracan score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Rosario Central have let in 9 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
Rosario Central
- at Sarmiento Junin31 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 39%
- vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto8 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 64%
Huracan
- vs Tigre30 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 41%
- at Argentinos Juniors8 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 23%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.