The model on 13 October: 23 out of 54
Of the 54 matches our model predicted before kick-off on Tuesday 13 October 2026, it called the result of 23 (43%). It named the exact scoreline 3 times. Across all 3,708 matches it has predicted since 19 July, the rate is 48%.
By competition
- UEFA Champions League: 6 of 9
- AFC Champions League Elite: 3 of 8
- Championship (England): 3 of 8
- 3. Liga: 2 of 5
- Premier League: 2 of 4
- Premier Soccer League: 2 of 4
- 1. Lig: 0 of 3
- Ligue 1: 2 of 3
- 6 other competitions: 3 of 10
The most confident misses
The predictions it was surest about and got wrong:
- Hansa Rostock 0-2 SV Meppen: the model had Hansa Rostock at 61%.
- Bucaramanga 1-1 Águilas Doradas: the model had Bucaramanga at 57%.
- Wolves 1-3 Bolton: the model had Wolves at 56%.
Exact scorelines
- Công An Nhân Dân 0-1 Kashima: the exact score it named, with Kashima at 47%.
- USM Alger 1-0 JS Saoura: the exact score it named, with USM Alger at 44%.
- US Biskra 0-1 MC Oran: the exact score it named, with MC Oran at 42%.
How this is counted
A result counts as called when the outcome the model rated most likely (home win, draw or away win) is the one that happened. Every prediction here was published and logged before kick-off, and the log is public: the track record breaks it down by confidence, by competition and by club. How the probabilities are produced, including where the model is known to be wrong, is in the methodology.
Every evening on Telegram
This summary is posted each evening on our Telegram channel, t.me/fulltimestats_com, with a link back to the full recap.