The model on 24 September: 8 out of 11
Of the 11 matches our model predicted before kick-off on Thursday 24 September 2026, it called the result of 8 (73%). It named the exact scoreline once. Across all 2,822 matches it has predicted since 19 July, the rate is 47%.
By competition
- UEFA Nations League: 6 of 8
- Botola Pro: 0 of 1
- Major League Soccer: 1 of 1
- Primera A: 1 of 1
The most confident misses
The predictions it was surest about and got wrong:
- Kosovo 1-0 Rep. Of Ireland: the model had Rep. Of Ireland at 42%.
- Netherlands 1-1 Germany: the model had Germany at 41%.
- Amal Tiznit 1-3 Ittihad Tanger: the model had Amal Tiznit at 35%.
Exact scorelines
- America de Cali 1-0 Águilas Doradas: the exact score it named, with America de Cali at 53%.
How this is counted
A result counts as called when the outcome the model rated most likely (home win, draw or away win) is the one that happened. Every prediction here was published and logged before kick-off, and the log is public: the track record breaks it down by confidence, by competition and by club. How the probabilities are produced, including where the model is known to be wrong, is in the methodology.