The model rates their attack at 1.05× the league average and their defence at 0.93× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Next they travel to Hungary in the UEFA Nations League on 25 September 2026, a match the model gives them 29%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Attacking strength1.05× league avg
Defensive solidity0.93× goals conceded
Next match: Ukraine vs Hungary
Ukraine travel to Hungary on 25 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 29% Ukraine, 30% draw and 41% Hungary, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.01 expected goals for Ukraine against 1.39. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Full preview and model analysis for Ukraine vs Hungary