The model rates their attack at 1.00× the league average and their defence at 1.09× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Next they host Romania in the UEFA Nations League on 25 September 2026, a match the model gives them 32%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Attacking strength1.00× league avg
Defensive solidity1.09× goals conceded
Next match: Sweden vs Romania
Sweden host Romania on 25 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 32% Sweden, 29% draw and 39% Romania, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.34 expected goals for Sweden against 1.60. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Full preview and model analysis for Sweden vs Romania