The model rates their attack at 1.13× the league average and their defence at 1.17× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — a side the model sees as dangerous going forward and vulnerable at the back. Next they host Moldova in the UEFA Nations League on 26 September 2026, a match the model gives them 57%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Slovakia vs Moldova
Slovakia host Moldova on 26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 57% Slovakia, 24% draw and 19% Moldova, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0. It projects 2.47 expected goals for Slovakia against 0.97. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Full preview and model analysis for Slovakia vs Moldova