The model rates their attack at 1.53× the league average and their defence at 0.81× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — the model rates them above average at both ends. Next they host Denmark in the UEFA Nations League on 24 September 2026, a match the model gives them 40%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Norway vs Denmark
Norway host Denmark on 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 40% Norway, 28% draw and 32% Denmark, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.74 expected goals for Norway against 1.41. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Full preview and model analysis for Norway vs Denmark