The model rates their attack at 0.50× the league average and their defence at 1.33× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Next they travel to Liechtenstein in the UEFA Nations League on 24 September 2026, a match the model gives them 38%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Lithuania vs Liechtenstein
Lithuania travel to Liechtenstein on 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 38% Lithuania, 33% draw and 29% Liechtenstein, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.10 expected goals for Lithuania against 0.83. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 30%.
Full preview and model analysis for Lithuania vs Liechtenstein