On the model's scale they rate 0.69 in attack and 1.37 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better): below the division's average at both ends. Next they host Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro on 11 October 2026, a match the model gives them 42%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Libertad vs Leones del Norte
Libertad host Leones del Norte at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja on 11 October 2026, 20:00 UTC. The model makes it 42% Libertad, 30% draw and 28% Leones del Norte, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.52 expected goals for Libertad against 1.01. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Full preview and model analysis for Libertad vs Leones del Norte
Recent meetings with Leones del Norte
- 4 July 2026Libertad 1–3 Leones del NorteLiga Pro
- 28 February 2026Leones del Norte 1–1 LibertadLiga Pro
The last 2 meetings between the two, most recent first.