Oțelul vs Universitatea Craiova Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Oțelul 1-1 Universitatea Craiova.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Oțelul, 20% draw, 26% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 1.85, 5.00 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Oțelul at 54%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Oțelul vs Universitatea Craiova
Line-ups
- 1Cosmin Dur-BozoancăG
- 5Habib SyllaD
- 3Giannis ChristopoulosD
- 6Paul IacobD
- 28Miguel SilvaD
- 17Andrei CiobanuM
- 8João LameiraM
- 27Pedro NunoM
- 30Matei FrunzăF
- 9Patrick FernandesF
- 10AndrézinhoF
- 7João PaulinoF
- 39Teodor LunguM
- 24Denis BordunM
- 13Mario ContraG
- 12Darius PaharnicuG
- 2Milen ZhelevD
- 16Dan NeicuD
- 20Robert OlteanuM
- 18Dragoș AfteneM
- 90Răzvan SavaG
- 4Alexandru CrețuD
- 24Nikola StevanovićD
- 6Vladimir ScreciuD
- 17Carlos MoraM
- 5Anzor MekvabishviliM
- 8Tudor BăluțăM
- 23Samuel TelesM
- 12Monday EtimF
- 9Assad Al-HamlawiF
- 29Luca BăsceanuF
- 11Nicușor BancuD
- 3Oleksandr RomanchukD
- 30David MateiM
- 10Ștefan BaiaramM
- 7Steven NsimbaF
- 21Laurenţiu PopescuG
- 1Alexandru MaximG
- 28Adrian RusD
- 20Alexandru CicâldăuM
Form going into Oțelul vs Universitatea Craiova
Oțelul
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Petrolul Ploiesti7 August 2026
- D1-1Dinamo Bucuresti31 July 2026
- D2-2away to Uta Arad24 July 2026
- W2-1CFR 1907 Cluj18 July 2026
Universitatea Craiova
All competitions we cover
- W2-1KuPS13 August 2026
- L0-1Arges Pitesti9 August 2026
- D1-1away to KuPS6 August 2026
- W4-0Petrolul Ploiesti1 August 2026
- D2-2Levski Sofia29 July 2026
What these results say
- Oțelul conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Oțelul failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Oțelul scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Oțelul | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 1 | Universitatea Craiova | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 10 | +24 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Oțelul vs Universitatea Craiova
- 5 February 2026Universitatea Craiova 1–0 OțelulLiga I
- 20 September 2025Oțelul 1–0 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 14 February 2025Universitatea Craiova 2–1 OțelulLiga I
- 11 January 2025Universitatea Craiova 1–2 OțelulFriendlies Clubs
- 5 October 2024Oțelul 1–1 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
Leading scorers: Oțelul and Universitatea Craiova
Oțelul
GoalsAssists
- Patrick40
Universitatea Craiova
GoalsAssists
- S. Elisor90
- A. Al Hamlawi70
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Oțelul and Universitatea Craiova drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Oțelul at 54% and given a draw 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Monday Etim 56' for Universitatea Craiova, Teodor Lungu 87' for Oțelul. Sent off: Alexandru Crețu (Universitatea Craiova) 29'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.