Novi Pazar
vs
Vojvodina
Super Liga prediction
The model makes it 22% Novi Pazar, 23% draw, 55% Vojvodina — fair odds of 4.55, 4.35 and 1.82. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Novi Pazar 1.13, Vojvodina 1.90.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Novi Pazar
- L0-2away to FK Crvena Zvezda8 August 2026
- L1-4OFK Beograd1 August 2026
- D0-0away to Mladost Lucani26 July 2026
- W1-0Radnicki 192318 July 2026
Vojvodina
- W2-0Macva3 August 2026
- L1-3away to FK Crvena Zvezda26 July 2026
- W4-0OFK Beograd19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Novi Pazar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
Novi Pazar
No league goals recorded yet.
Vojvodina
- N. Mulahusejnović3 goals
- L. Ranđelović2 goals3 assists
- P. Sukacev1 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Novi Pazar carry a model rating of 6.2 against 6.62 for Vojvodina. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Novi Pazar W-D-L-L; Vojvodina W-L-W.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.13 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.90 for Vojvodina. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Novi Pazar rate 0.57 in attack and 2.12 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Vojvodina rate 0.64 and 1.05.
That points to 58% for over two and a half goals and 58% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Vojvodina the highest probability at 55%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.13 expected goals for Novi Pazar against 1.9 for Vojvodina. Novi Pazar's attack/defence rating is 0.57/2.12 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.64/1.05 for Vojvodina.